Prediction for match Heidenheim — Hoffenheim

Odds and Probability Percentages

The match between Heidenheim and Hoffenheim will take place on March 7, 2026, in the Bundesliga. The odds highlight Hoffenheim as the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.64, a draw at 4.62, and a win for Heidenheim at 5.33. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 60.14% for a Hoffenheim win, 21.35% for a draw, and 18.51% for a Heidenheim win. The odds for both teams to score 'yes' are at 1.52, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring game. The over 2.75 goals is priced at 1.54, and over 3.0 goals at 1.70, which also indicates high expectations for goals in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Heidenheim lost to Werder 0-2, drew with Stuttgart 3-3, and lost to Augsburg 0-1. During the same period, Hoffenheim lost to St. Pauli 0-1, drew with Köln 2-2, and confidently beat Freiburg 3-0. On average over five games, Heidenheim has 43.4% possession, commits 9.4 fouls, is caught offside 2.4 times, and receives 1 yellow card per match. Hoffenheim shows 59% possession, 9.4 fouls, 1.6 offsides, and 2 yellow cards per game. In their last head-to-head meeting on October 25, 2025, Hoffenheim defeated Heidenheim 3-1, which also reflects Hoffenheim's advantage in results. Over a five-match series, Heidenheim shows inconsistency, while Hoffenheim more often gains points and scores more goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Heidenheim played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Hoffenheim, in the same stretch, went over 2.5 goals four times. The average goals in Heidenheim's matches is 3.2, while for Hoffenheim it's 3.6. Heidenheim scores 1 goal per game, and Hoffenheim scores 1.8. Conceding: Heidenheim - 2.2, Hoffenheim - 1.8. In the first half, Heidenheim recorded over 1.5 goals twice, Hoffenheim three times. In the second half, Heidenheim had three over 1.5, Hoffenheim four. The most frequent goal interval for Heidenheim is 76-90 minutes (40%), for Hoffenheim it's 31-45 (31%). In terms of conceding, Heidenheim often suffers in the 31-45 interval (43%), and Hoffenheim in the same stretch (60%). All this suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring: both teams regularly score and concede, and the total goals consistently stay above 2.5. Betting on both teams to score 'yes' at 1.52 seems logical, considering Hoffenheim's attacking profile and Heidenheim's defensive vulnerabilities. Also, note that the over 2.75 goals is priced at 1.54, confirmed by both teams' recent scoring form.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Heidenheim takes 4.6 corners per game, Hoffenheim 5.8. In the last five matches, Heidenheim went over 9.5 corners twice, Hoffenheim five out of five times. The line offers a corners total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.61, under 9.5 at 2.17. In terms of corner outcomes, Hoffenheim is the favorite with odds of 1.57. Given that both teams average more than 10 corners combined, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Hoffenheim consistently exceeds this threshold, and Heidenheim can also keep up a high pace in this aspect. Overall, the match promises to be rich in both goals and set-pieces.