Prediction for match Heidenheim — Union Berlin

Match Preview

In the Bundesliga on April 11, Heidenheim will face Union Berlin. According to the 1X2 odds, Union Berlin is the favorite with odds of 2.38, while Heidenheim's odds are 3.11, and a draw is priced at 3.66. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Heidenheim win - 31.68%, draw - 26.92%, Union Berlin win - 41.40%. This reflects a slight edge for Union Berlin according to the bookmakers, but the difference isn't significant. Both teams are in a challenging situation, and the result could be crucial for both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Heidenheim has the following stats: possession 42.6%, average yellow cards 0.8, fouls 8.4, offsides 1.6. Union Berlin, over the same period, records possession 34.2%, yellow cards 1.6, fouls 11, offsides 2.8. In their last three matches, Heidenheim played as follows: 04.04.2026 - Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Heidenheim - 2-2, 21.03.2026 - Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen - 3-3, 14.03.2026 - Eintracht Frankfurt vs Heidenheim - 1-0. Union Berlin's last three matches: 05.04.2026 - Union Berlin vs St. Pauli - 1-1, 21.03.2026 - Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin - 4-0, 15.03.2026 - Freiburg vs Union Berlin - 0-1. Their last head-to-head was on 29.11.2025: Union Berlin vs Heidenheim - 1-2.

Goal Scoring Trends

In their last five matches, Heidenheim has shown an attacking style of play: average total goals - 3.8, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.4 on average. Union Berlin has been more modest in attack - 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded, with an overall average total of 2.6. Heidenheim has exceeded the 2.5 total goals line in 3 out of 5 matches, while Union Berlin has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Heidenheim has gone over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Union Berlin in 2 out of 5. Heidenheim has been more productive in the second half: 4 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Union Berlin - 2 out of 5. Heidenheim most frequently scores between the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (30% each), conceding most often between 16-30 minutes (33%). Union Berlin scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (29% each), conceding in 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Given Heidenheim's high scoring rate and Union Berlin's not-so-reliable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Heidenheim earns 3 corners per match, Union Berlin - 2.4. In the last 5 matches, Heidenheim has not exceeded the 9.5 corner total, while Union Berlin has done so in 1 out of 5. Of the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (5.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.65, under 8.5 at 2.11. In terms of corner outcomes, Union Berlin is favored with odds of 2.02. Considering both teams' low averages, a bet on under 8.5 corners seems justified, although for more adventurous options, Union Berlin's win on corners could be considered.