Prediction for match 1.FC Köln — Bayer Leverkusen

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On April 25th, in the Bundesliga, 1.FC Köln will face Bayer Leverkusen. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Köln is at 4.01, a draw at 4.16, and a win for Bayer Leverkusen is at 1.90. In terms of probability distribution, Köln has a 24.54% chance, a draw is at 23.66%, and Bayer Leverkusen is at 51.80%. Bayer Leverkusen stands out as the favorite based on both the odds and probabilities. There are various options for betting on the total goals: over 2.5 goals is at 1.50, both teams to score - yes at 1.49, no at 2.48. However, the main interest lies in the goal total line, considering both teams' scoring abilities in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Köln's last three games, they drew 1-1 with St. Pauli (17.04.2026), beat Werder 3-1 (12.04.2026), and drew 2-2 with Eintracht Frankfurt (05.04.2026). Bayer Leverkusen lost 0-2 to Bayern (22.04.2026), lost 1-2 to Augsburg (18.04.2026), and won 1-0 against Borussia Dortmund (11.04.2026). Over a five-match series, Köln averages 50.2% ball possession, commits 3 yellow cards, 8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Bayer Leverkusen shows 59.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 7.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on December 13, 2025, Bayer Leverkusen won 2-0 against Köln. These stats highlight that Bayer Leverkusen plays more disciplined and controls the ball more often, while Köln tends to commit more fouls and receive more cards.

How Many Goals in the Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen Match

In their last five matches, Köln has an average total of 3.6 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 1.6. Bayer Leverkusen has an even higher scoring rate: 4.2 goals on average, with 2.2 scored and 2 conceded. Both teams have 3 out of 5 matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. By halves, Köln has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half, while Bayer Leverkusen has 3 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. For goal intervals, Köln most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (40%), while Bayer Leverkusen also scores most often in this interval (30%). In terms of goals conceded, Köln is notable in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute periods (25% each), while Bayer Leverkusen is notable in the 31-45 minute period (36%). These data confirm that both teams tend to be more active in the second half, and the average goals and over totals support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.50.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Köln earns 5 corners, and Bayer Leverkusen earns 7 per match. In the last 5 games, Köln has 2 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, and Bayer Leverkusen has 3 out of 5. The line for total corners offers: over 12.5 at 2.62, under 12.5 at 1.43, and closer to both teams' average - over 11 at 2.33, under 11 at 1.53. Bayer Leverkusen is favored to win on corners with odds of 1.70. Given that both teams frequently earn corners, it's logical to consider a bet on total corners over 11, but the main focus remains on goal scoring.