Prediction for match 1.FC Köln — Borussia M

Match Analysis: 1.FC Köln vs Borussia M

On March 21, 2026, 1.FC Köln will face Borussia M in the Bundesliga. The odds for a Köln victory are 2.38, for a Borussia M win - 3.18, and a draw is priced at 3.58. Looking at the probabilities, Köln is given a 41.44% chance, a draw 27.55%, and Borussia M 31.01%. The betting lines also highlight the over/under goals market: over 2.5 goals is at 1.86, and both teams to score is at 1.61. Based on the distribution of odds and recent match statistics, bookmakers expect a high-scoring game with chances for goals from both sides.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, 1.FC Köln averages 45.4% ball possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 7.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Borussia M slightly edges out with 50% possession, 1.4 yellows, 8.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides on average. Köln's last three matches were: 14.03.2026 - Hamburg 1-1 Köln, 07.03.2026 - Köln 1-2 Borussia Dortmund, 27.02.2026 - Augsburg 2-0 Köln. Borussia M's recent games include: 13.03.2026 - Borussia M 2-0 St. Pauli, 06.03.2026 - Bayern 4-1 Borussia M, 28.02.2026 - Borussia M 1-0 Union Berlin. In their last head-to-head on 08.11.2025, Borussia M defeated Köln 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Köln averages 3 goals per game, while Borussia M averages 2.8. Both teams score 1 goal per game, with Köln conceding 2 and Borussia M 1.8. For matches with over 2.5 goals, both teams had 3 out of 5 games being high-scoring. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were seen 2 times out of 5 for each team, while in the second half, Köln was more prolific with 4 out of 5 games over 1.5 goals, compared to Borussia M's 2 out of 5. Köln often scored between the 76th and 90th minutes (44%), while Borussia M scored most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (42%). Köln conceded most between the 31st and 45th and 46th and 60th minutes (33% each), whereas Borussia M conceded mostly in the final 76th to 90th minute (100%). All this suggests a high probability of at least three goals in the match, supported by the over 2.5 goals odds at 1.86.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

1.FC Köln averages 6.8 corners per game, while Borussia M averages 4. For matches with over 9.5 corners, Köln had 3 out of 5 games with high corner counts, while Borussia M had only 1 out of 5. The line closest to the average total (10.8) is 10.5: odds for over 10.5 are 2.16, and for under 10.5 - 1.62. For corner outcomes, Köln is favored with odds of 1.70. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 10.5 corners, given Köln's high activity in this metric and the frequency in their matches.