Prediction for match 1.FC Köln — St. Pauli

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming Bundesliga round, 1.FC Köln will face St. Pauli on December 6, 2025. The odds for a Köln win are 2.05, a draw is priced at 3.78, and a St. Pauli victory is at 3.80. According to the probabilities: Köln has a 48.04% chance, a draw 26.05%, and St. Pauli 25.91%. This setup highlights Köln as the favorite, although the difference in chances is not critical. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.90, while both teams to score - yes is 1.68 and no is 2.08, indicating expectations for a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Köln maintains 50% possession, averages 1.8 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per game. St. Pauli holds the ball 45.2% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and has 2.2 offsides per match. In their last three games, Köln played as follows: November 29 - Werder vs. Köln 1-1, November 22 - Köln vs. Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4, November 8 - Borussia M vs. Köln 3-1. St. Pauli's last three matches were: December 2 - Borussia M vs. St. Pauli 1-2, November 29 - Bayern vs. St. Pauli 3-1, November 23 - St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin 0-1. The last head-to-head encounter was on February 8, 2019: Köln - St. Pauli 4-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Köln shows high scoring potential: 4 out of 5 games went over 2.5 goals. St. Pauli also has 4 out of 5 over 2.5, despite differences in goals scored. The average goal tally in Köln's matches reaches 4.6, while St. Pauli's is 3. Köln scores an average of 2 and concedes 2.6, St. Pauli scores 0.8 and concedes 2.2. By halves, Köln has 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. St. Pauli shows 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. By intervals, Köln most often scores between 76-90 minutes (31%) and concedes between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (36% each). St. Pauli divides their scoring periods between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes most frequently from 31 to 45 minutes (33%). With these figures, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems justified: both teams regularly play high-scoring games, especially in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Köln averages 3.4 corners per match, St. Pauli 4.2. In their last five matches, Köln had 1 out of 5 games go over 9.5 corners, while St. Pauli had 3 out of 5. Among the corner totals odds, there's a pair for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.80, under at 1.95. For corner outcomes, Köln is the favorite with odds of 1.73. Considering both teams' average activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially noting that St. Pauli frequently surpasses this mark in recent matches.