Prediction for match 1.FC Köln — Mainz 05, 17.01.2026

Match Analysis: 1.FC Köln vs Mainz 05

On January 17, in the Bundesliga, 1.FC Köln will face Mainz 05. According to the 1X2 odds, 1.FC Köln is the favorite with odds of 2.28, Mainz 05 is at 3.23, and a draw is at 3.76. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 1.FC Köln win - 43.25%, draw - 26.22%, Mainz 05 win - 30.53%. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.59, no is at 2.24, indicating that bookmakers lean towards both teams scoring. For total goals over 2.5, the odds are 1.81, and for under 2.5, it's 2.17, confirming expectations of moderate scoring. Individual totals: Köln over 1.5 is at 2.01, Mainz 05 over 1.5 is at 2.49, reflecting a cautious approach to the attacking potential of both teams.

Team Statistics and Results

In the last five matches, 1.FC Köln shows the following stats: possession 46.2%, average yellow cards 0.8, fouls 6.2, offsides 1.6. Mainz 05 in the same period has possession 39.8%, yellow cards 1, fouls 8.4, offsides 1. Recent matches for 1.FC Köln: January 14, 2026, 1.FC Köln - Bayern Munich 1-3, January 10, 2026, Heidenheim - 1.FC Köln 2-2, December 20, 2025, 1.FC Köln - Union Berlin 0-1. For Mainz 05, the last three games: January 13, 2026, Mainz 05 - Heidenheim 2-1, January 10, 2026, Union Berlin - Mainz 05 2-2, December 21, 2025, Mainz 05 - St. Pauli 0-0. In their last head-to-head on August 24, 2025, Mainz 05 lost to 1.FC Köln 0-1. These results indicate that both teams are capable of both scoring and conceding, with Mainz 05 looking slightly more stable in recent matches in terms of points.

Goal Scoring Patterns

In terms of average scoring over five matches, both teams have an average of 2.6 goals per game. 1.FC Köln scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8, Mainz 05 scores 1.6 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals: 1.FC Köln has 2 out of 5 matches over, Mainz 05 has 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for 1.FC Köln 2 times, for Mainz 05 - 1 time, while in the second half, both teams have 3 occurrences over 1.5. In terms of timing, 1.FC Köln most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (33%) and concedes late in the game (76-90 minutes, 43%). Mainz 05 is most productive from 76-90 minutes (38%) and concedes most often from 61 to 75 minutes (40%). These data confirm that both teams tend to be active in the second half, especially towards the end, which strengthens the argument for a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.59. Considering that Mainz 05 consistently scores more than one goal per game, and 1.FC Köln, despite a modest scoring record, has regularly found the net in recent matches, a bet on both teams to score seems the most logical. Meanwhile, over 2.5 goals also has statistical backing, but the odds on both teams to score: yes are slightly more attractive and rely on more consistent second-half goal statistics and frequency of over 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for both teams over five matches is the same - 3.8. For total corners over 9.5, 1.FC Köln has 2 out of 5, Mainz 05 has 1 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the one closest to the sum of the averages (7.6) is the 7.5 total: over 7.5 is at 1.25, under 7.5 is at 3.38. Also close is the 8.5 total: over 8.5 is at 1.48, under 8.5 is at 2.48. For the outcome on corners, 1.FC Köln is the favorite with odds of 2.00. Considering the low average corner stats and the low frequency of high totals, a bet on a moderate number of corners, such as total corners under 9.5 or 10.5, seems logical. Also, a bet on 1.FC Köln to win on corners could be considered, given the equality in averages but the lower odds on 1.FC Köln.