Prediction for match Nürnberg — Schalke 04

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the 2. Bundesliga on May 9, Nürnberg will face Schalke 04. According to the 1X2 odds, Nürnberg is the favorite with odds of 2.06, implying a 45.48% chance of winning. Schalke 04 has odds of 3.18, suggesting a 29.46% chance. A draw is priced at 3.74, with a probability of 25.05%. Thus, the bookmakers slightly favor Nürnberg, but the gap isn't significant. The betting lines also include options for totals and both teams to score, but the main focus of the prediction is on a low total.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Nürnberg has averaged 49.4% possession, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 13.2 fouls, and been caught offside 0.6 times per game. Over the same period, Schalke 04 has maintained 50.4% possession, received 2 yellow cards, committed 8.6 fouls, and been caught offside 2 times. In their last three matches, Nürnberg had the following results: 03.05.2026 Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg 1-1, 26.04.2026 Nürnberg - Magdeburg 1-0, 18.04.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg 1-1. Schalke 04's last three matches ended as follows: 02.05.2026 Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0, 26.04.2026 Paderborn 07 - Schalke 04 2-3, 19.04.2026 Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster 4-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 14.12.2025: Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Nürnberg's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals did not occur: 0 out of 5 on "over", 5 out of 5 on "under". Schalke 04 shows the opposite trend - 3 out of 5 on "over 2.5". Nürnberg's average goals scored during this period is 0.8, with 1 conceded, and a total of 1.8 goals per match. Schalke 04's averages are significantly higher: 2.2 goals scored, 0.8 conceded, and 3 goals on average per game. By halves, Nürnberg only had 1 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5 in both the first and second halves, while Schalke 04 had 3 out of 5 in the first half over 1.5, and only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Regarding goal intervals, Nürnberg most often scores in four different periods (0-15, 31-45, 61-75, 76-90) at 25% each, and concedes evenly throughout the five-minute intervals. Schalke 04 scores 33% of their goals in the first 15 minutes, with goals conceded distributed 33% between the 31-45 and 76-90 minute marks. Despite Schalke 04's scoring ability, Nürnberg's low attacking activity and under-profile on totals suggest betting on under 2.5 goals. Supporting this is Nürnberg's average of only 1.8 goals and zero occurrences of over 2.5 in 5 games. Schalke 04 has an over-profile, but considering the opponent's defensive approach and low scoring, an under total bet seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Nürnberg averages 3.8 corners, while Schalke 04 averages 3 per match. In the last five encounters, both teams had only one match out of five with a total corners over 9.5. The total closest to the average sum (6.8) is 7.5. Odds for over 7.5 corners are 1.23, and for under 7.5 - 3.55. In the corners market, Nürnberg is favored with odds of 2.00. Considering the low average corner stats and rare occurrences of over 9.5, it's logical to consider a bet on the under total corners or individual team stats. There is no significant advantage in corners for either side.