Prediction for match Hoffenheim — Bayer Leverkusen, 17.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In one of the Bundesliga's headline matches on January 17, 2026, Hoffenheim will face Bayer Leverkusen. The odds for a Hoffenheim win are 2.60, for a Bayer win are 2.64, and a draw is priced at 3.96. The probabilities are almost evenly split: 37.86% for Hoffenheim, 37.28% for Bayer, and 24.86% for a draw. This balance reflects the evenly matched strength of both teams and the lack of a clear favorite according to the bookmakers. The goal totals are also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is at 1.46, and over 2.75 goals is at 1.57, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" option is valued at 1.42, while "No" is at 2.69, suggesting a high likelihood of both teams finding the net. The double chance for Hoffenheim or draw is at 1.54, and for Bayer or draw is at 1.56. For individual team totals, Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals is at 1.91, and Bayer is at 1.93. Overall, the odds suggest a competitive match with goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hoffenheim has an average ball possession of 59%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Bayer, over the same period, holds 58.6% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and is offside once per game. In their last three matches, Hoffenheim defeated Borussia M 5-1 (14.01.2026), drew 0-0 with Stuttgart (20.12.2025), and beat Hamburg 4-1 (13.12.2025). Bayer, in their last three, lost to Stuttgart 1-4 (10.01.2026), won against RB Leipzig 3-1 (20.12.2025), and defeated Cologne 2-0 (13.12.2025). Their last head-to-head encounter was on August 23, 2025: Bayer - Hoffenheim 1-2. These results show that both teams are capable of strong victories as well as dropping points.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Hoffenheim has an average total of 3.2 goals, while Bayer has 3.4. Hoffenheim scores 2.4 goals per game and concedes 0.8; Bayer scores 1.6 and concedes 1.8. In the totals_last_5_matches block, the over 2.5 goals bet hit 3 out of 5 times for both teams, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. By halves: over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 3 out of 5 times for both teams, and in the second half, it occurred 2 out of 5 times. By intervals: Hoffenheim most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (36%), while Bayer scores most between the 61st and 75th minutes (38%). In terms of goals conceded, Hoffenheim often concedes late (76-90, 67%), while Bayer concedes frequently at the end of the first half (31-45, 44%). These stats indicate that both teams regularly create and convert chances, especially in the second half. Given the average scoring rate and frequency of over 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.57 seems a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Hoffenheim earns 4.6 corners per game, while Bayer earns 7.4, totaling 12. In the last five matches, the over 9.5 corners bet hit once for Hoffenheim and four times for Bayer. Among available totals, the closest to the average sum is 11, with odds for over 11 corners at 2.53, and under at 1.46. The over 10.5 corners option is at 2.20, under at 1.78. For corners outcome, Hoffenheim is favored with odds of 2.00. Considering Bayer consistently earns many corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 10.5 or 11 corners, as well as focusing on Bayer's individual corner stats.