Prediction for match Hoffenheim — St. Pauli

Match Analysis: Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli

In the upcoming Bundesliga match on February 28, Hoffenheim will face St. Pauli. The odds for Hoffenheim to win are 1.52, a draw is at 4.78, and a victory for St. Pauli is at 6.65. In terms of probability, Hoffenheim has a 64.66% chance, a draw is at 20.56%, and St. Pauli is at 14.78%. This indicates a clear favorite, but the statistics on totals and goals for both teams deserve attention when choosing a bet.

Team Results and Statistics

Hoffenheim's averages over the last five matches: possession 54.8%, yellow cards 2.2, fouls 9.4, offsides 1.2. St. Pauli's possession is 40%, yellow cards 1.2, fouls 10, offsides 2.2. In their last three matches, Hoffenheim played as follows: 21.02.2026 Cologne - Hoffenheim 2-2, 14.02.2026 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 3-0, 08.02.2026 Bayern - Hoffenheim 5-1. St. Pauli's last three matches were: 22.02.2026 St. Pauli - Werder 2-1, 14.02.2026 Bayer - St. Pauli 4-0, 07.02.2026 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 2-1. In their head-to-head on 28.10.2025, St. Pauli and Hoffenheim drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Hoffenheim has an average of 3.8 goals per game, while St. Pauli has 3.2. Hoffenheim scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 1.6, while St. Pauli scores 1 and concedes 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: Hoffenheim has 4 out of 5, and St. Pauli has 5 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Hoffenheim 3 times out of 5, and for St. Pauli 2 out of 5. In the second half, over 1.5 goals happened for Hoffenheim 4 times, and for St. Pauli also 4 times out of 5. Goal intervals: Hoffenheim most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (31%), St. Pauli between 46-60 minutes (31%). Hoffenheim most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (50%), St. Pauli in three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, 76-90 minutes (33% each). This profile of both teams suggests a high probability of a high-scoring match, where both sides are likely to score, and the timing dynamics support a bet on over 2.5 goals. The odds for this outcome are 1.83.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for Hoffenheim over 5 matches is 5.6, and for St. Pauli is 3.8. For over 9.5 corners: Hoffenheim has 5 out of 5, and St. Pauli has 3 out of 5. The closest to the average total is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.75, under 9.5 is at 1.97. Hoffenheim is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.33. Considering the frequent overs and the activity of both teams in set-pieces, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners.