Prediction for match Hoffenheim — Freiburg, 14.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On February 14th, in the Bundesliga, Hoffenheim will face Freiburg. The 1X2 odds have Hoffenheim winning at 1.78, a draw at 4.16, and Freiburg's victory at 4.72. In terms of probability percentages, Hoffenheim has a 55.40% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.71%, and Freiburg has a 20.89% chance. This makes Hoffenheim the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and probability percentages. This match promises to be intriguing in terms of power distribution and bookmakers' expectations.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Hoffenheim lost 1-5 to Bayern on February 8th, defeated Union Berlin 3-1 on January 31st, and beat Werder 2-0 on January 27th. Freiburg, in their last three games, won 6-5 against Hertha on February 10th, beat Werder 1-0 on February 7th, and lost 0-1 to Stuttgart on February 1st. Over the last five matches, Hoffenheim has an average possession of 48%, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Freiburg, in the same period, has 38.8% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Their last head-to-head was on September 28, 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw.

Goal Totals Statistics

In terms of scoring in the last five matches, Hoffenheim averages 3.4 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.4 per game. Freiburg averages 1.6 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding the same. For over 2.5 goals, Hoffenheim had 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, while Freiburg had only 1 out of 5. By halves, Hoffenheim had more than 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5, and 2 times in the first half. Freiburg had no matches with more than 1.5 goals in the second half, and only 1 in the first half. Hoffenheim most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%). Freiburg scores most often in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each) and concedes mainly in the first 15 minutes (100%). Given Hoffenheim's high scoring rate and Freiburg's low goal statistics, betting on under 3.0 total goals at 1.69 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Hoffenheim averages 4.4 corners per match, Freiburg 3.6, totaling 8. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times out of 5 for both teams. Among the available total corners, 8.5 is closest to the average sum: over 8.5 corners is at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.42. In the corner outcome line, Hoffenheim is favored at 1.60. Statistics suggest both teams can regularly earn corners, so betting on over 8.5 corners looks justified. Additionally, considering Hoffenheim's higher average, betting on Hoffenheim to win the corner count is also an option.