Prediction for match Hoffenheim — Union Berlin, 31.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Bundesliga match between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin is scheduled for January 31, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Hoffenheim is priced at 1.85, a draw at 3.94, and a victory for Union Berlin at 4.52. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Hoffenheim 53.22%, draw 24.99%, Union Berlin 21.78%. Hoffenheim is the favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, which is also supported by their recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hoffenheim has shown stability in secondary metrics: 50.6% ball possession, an average of 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Over the same period, Union Berlin shows 49% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Hoffenheim defeated Werder 2-0 (January 27, 2026), beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 (January 24, 2026), and overcame Bayer 1-0 (January 17, 2026). Union Berlin lost 0-3 to Borussia Dortmund (January 24, 2026), drew 1-1 with Stuttgart (January 18, 2026), and drew 1-1 with Augsburg (January 15, 2026). The last head-to-head encounter took place on September 13, 2025, with Hoffenheim winning 4-2 at Union Berlin's ground.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Hoffenheim has an average total of 2.6 goals per game, scoring on average 2.2 and conceding only 0.4. Over the same period, Union Berlin averages 2.4 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. Both teams have over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, indicating a balance between over and under. For halves, Hoffenheim has only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Union Berlin has no matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, but 3 out of 5 in the second half ended with two or more goals. Hoffenheim most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (43%), while Union Berlin tends to score late, from the 76th to 90th minute (50%). Hoffenheim concedes most often from the 46th to 60th minute (50%), and Union Berlin also in the late game (76-90, 50%). Considering the average scoring, moderate balance on totals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.87 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Hoffenheim averages 4.8 corners per match, while Union Berlin averages 5.2, totaling 10. In the last five matches, Hoffenheim has surpassed the over 9.5 corners total twice, and Union Berlin once. For corner totals, the line closest to the average is 9.5, offering both options: over 9.5 corners at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. Hoffenheim is favored for the corner outcome with odds of 1.50. Given both teams' average activity and frequency of surpassing the total, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, but Hoffenheim to win on corners could also be considered.