Prediction for match Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg is set for 14.03.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Hoffenheim stands out as the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.51, a draw at 5.03, and a Wolfsburg win at 6.40. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Hoffenheim - 65.10%, draw - 19.54%, Wolfsburg - 15.36%. This setup reflects a significant advantage for Hoffenheim based on bookmakers' expectations and recent match statistics. Meanwhile, the line for over 2.75 goals is at 1.50, indicating high expectations for a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hoffenheim has an average possession of 58.2%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Wolfsburg, over the same period, shows 40.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Hoffenheim played as follows: 07.03.2026 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 2-4, 28.02.2026 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0-1, 21.02.2026 Cologne - Hoffenheim 2-2. Wolfsburg's last three results were: 07.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Hamburg 1-2, 01.03.2026 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 4-0, 21.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 2-3. Their last head-to-head encounter was on 02.11.2025: Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Hoffenheim hit over 2.5 goals four times, while Wolfsburg did so in all five. On average in this period, Hoffenheim scored 4 goals per game, and Wolfsburg 3.8. Hoffenheim scores 2 and concedes 2, while Wolfsburg scores 1.2 and concedes 2.6. In the first halves, Hoffenheim recorded more than 1.5 goals three times out of five, Wolfsburg twice. In the second halves, Hoffenheim went over 1.5 goals four times, Wolfsburg three times. Hoffenheim most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes (25% each), while Wolfsburg scores most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (30%). In terms of goals conceded, Hoffenheim concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), Wolfsburg from the 76th to the 90th minute (44%). These stats confirm that both teams tend to play open and score regularly, especially in the second half. Against this background, a bet on over 2.75 goals seems logical, considering the high average scoring rates and frequent over totals achieved by both sides.

Corners in the Match

Hoffenheim averages 5.8 corners per game, Wolfsburg 3.4. In the last five matches, Hoffenheim saw over 9.5 corners four times, Wolfsburg three times. For the total corners line: over 9.5 is priced at 1.51, under 9.5 at 2.38. Hoffenheim is the favorite for corners at 1.27. Given Hoffenheim's activity in crossing and overall scoring, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears justified. One might also consider Hoffenheim's advantage in the number of corners.