Prediction for match 2 de Mayo — Alianza Lima

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Copa Libertadores, 2 de Mayo will face Alianza Lima on February 5th. According to the 1X2 odds, Alianza Lima is favored to win with odds of 2.39, giving them a 40.12% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 3.06 (31.34%), while a win for 2 de Mayo is at 3.36 (28.54%). This reflects Alianza Lima's advantage based on recent results and goal statistics. Bookmakers expect Alianza Lima to be closer to victory in this match, but a draw is also quite possible, indicated by the relatively high probability of a stalemate.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, 2 de Mayo has an average possession of 48.4%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. Alianza Lima has 45.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three games, 2 de Mayo lost 1-5 to Nacional Asuncion on January 31, drew 1-1 with Olimpia on January 28, and lost 1-2 to Sportivo Luqueño on January 23. Alianza Lima lost 7-8 to Sporting Cristal on December 7, drew 1-1 with the same opponent on December 3, and defeated UTC 3-0 on November 23. There have been no recent head-to-head encounters between these two teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, 2 de Mayo has an average total of 3.8 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.6 goals per game. Alianza Lima averages a total of 3.6, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4. 2 de Mayo has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Alianza Lima has done so in 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for 2 de Mayo and 3 out of 5 for Alianza Lima. Both teams tend to be more productive in the second half: 2 de Mayo has over 1.5 in 5 out of 5, and Alianza Lima in 4 out of 5. 2 de Mayo most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (30%), while Alianza Lima scores most between the 31st and 45th minute (36%). 2 de Mayo is most vulnerable from the 76th to 90th minute (50%), while Alianza Lima has equal peaks at the end of both halves (33%). Given the high average scoring of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goal matches, and active second halves, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.41 seems logical for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

2 de Mayo averages 3.6 corners per game, while Alianza Lima averages 5. For over 9.5 corners, 2 de Mayo has 1 out of 5, and Alianza Lima has 2 out of 5. The available totals closest to the average sum (8.6) are 9.5. For this total, the odds are: over 9.5 - no data, under 9.5 - no data. Neither team shows particularly high activity in corners, but Alianza Lima delivers more. In this match, consider betting on Alianza Lima's individual corner total over 5 if such a market appears, or a total closer to 9.5.