Prediction for match Aberdeen — Hibernian

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Scottish Premiership on April 11, Aberdeen will face Hibernian. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Hibernian's victory is at 2.10, a draw is at 3.35, and Aberdeen's win is at 3.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Hibernian - 44.62%, draw - 27.97%, Aberdeen - 27.40%. These figures indicate that Hibernian is the favorite, with significantly higher odds for a draw or an Aberdeen win. Bookmakers give the edge to Hibernian, which is confirmed by both the probability percentages and the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Aberdeen lost to St. Mirren 0-2 (04.04.2026), was defeated by Rangers 1-4 (21.03.2026), and drew with Falkirk 1-1 (14.03.2026). Hibernian, in their last three games, beat Kilmarnock 3-0 (04.04.2026), drew with Motherwell 0-0 (21.03.2026), and Livingston 0-0 (14.03.2026). In their head-to-head on 30.12.2025, Hibernian defeated Aberdeen 2-0. Over the last five matches, Aberdeen's average ball possession is 41.2%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Hibernian's possession is at 52.6%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 7.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. These stats reflect the difference in playing style: Hibernian controls the ball more and commits fewer fouls, while Aberdeen records more fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Aberdeen vs Hibernian Match

In a five-match series, Aberdeen has an average total of 3 goals per match, while Hibernian has 2.4. In the last five games, both teams had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. Aberdeen's average goals scored is 0.6, with 2.4 conceded, while Hibernian has 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. By halves, Aberdeen had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and the same in the second half. Hibernian had over 1.5 in the first half 3 out of 5 times, and 1 out of 5 in the second half. Aberdeen most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (27%), while Hibernian scores mostly in the first 15 minutes (43%). For conceded goals, Aberdeen's distribution is even: 25% in each of the four intervals, while 60% of Hibernian's conceded goals are in the 76-90 minute range. Despite relatively high average totals, Aberdeen has very low attacking efficiency, and Hibernian has a solid defense. Based on this data, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.89 seems justified: both teams tend towards low-scoring games, especially considering Aberdeen's average of only 0.6 goals per match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, both teams averaged 4.8 in their last five matches. Aberdeen's total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 out of 5 times, and Hibernian's 3 out of 5. The odds for total corners offer a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.44, under 9.5 at 2.46. Hibernian is favored in corners with odds of 1.80. Considering both teams' average activity and frequent occurrences of over 9.5 corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. It's also worth noting that neither team has a strong bias in one direction for corners, making this choice well-founded.