Tips for match Milan — Roma, 02.11.2025

Match Analysis: Milan vs Roma

On November 2, Milan will face Roma in Serie A. The odds for the outcome are: a Milan victory at 2.20, a draw at 3.00, and a Roma win at 3.70. According to the percentages, Milan has the highest probability of winning at 42.96%, a draw is rated at 31.50%, and Roma's chances are 25.54%. These figures highlight Milan as the most likely winner, but the significant draw percentage makes the outcome prediction cautious. For a more reliable bet, it's advisable to consider totals, where there's a noticeable trend towards low scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Milan has maintained 50.8% possession, averaged 2 yellow cards, committed 9 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Roma has higher possession at 59.8%, with 2.4 cards, 15 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Milan's last three games: 28.10.2025 Atalanta 1-1 Milan, 24.10.2025 Milan 2-2 Pisa, 19.10.2025 Milan 2-1 Fiorentina. Roma's: 29.10.2025 Roma 2-1 Parma, 26.10.2025 Sassuolo 0-1 Roma, 23.10.2025 Roma 1-2 Viktoria Plzen. In the head-to-head match on 18.05.2025, Roma defeated Milan 3-1, with over 2.5 goals recorded. Recent stats show both teams are capable of scoring bursts, but current form indicates a more restrained style.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Milan had over 2.5 goals in three games and under in two. Roma had the same: three over, two under. However, both teams are not particularly high-scoring in halves: Milan had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, Roma also twice; in the second half, Milan twice over 1.5, Roma only once in 5 games. The average goals in Milan's matches are 2.4, Roma's 2.2. Milan scores 1.4 and concedes 1, Roma scores 1.2 and concedes 1. Notably, Milan often scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while Roma spreads their goals across four periods, 25% each: 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90. In terms of conceding: Milan most often in 46-60 (60%), Roma in 16-30 (71%). This indicates both teams tend to moderate scoring and can hold the score for extended periods, with goal surges in limited intervals. Considering this data, betting on under 2.5 goals seems most logical, especially at odds of 1.62.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, Milan averages 2.4 corners, Roma 6.6. For over 9.5 corners: Milan only once in 5 games, Roma 3 times. Odds for corner totals: over 9.5 is 2.00, under 9.5 is also 2.00. Milan to win on corners is 1.62, Roma 2.75. Given Milan's low and Roma's high corner activity, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified at equal odds, but note that only one of Milan's games was high-scoring in this aspect.