Prediction for match AD Ceuta FC — Almeria, 26.11.2025

Match Analysis: AD Ceuta FC vs Almeria

In the Segunda match between AD Ceuta FC and Almeria on November 26th, the odds are as follows: a win for Almeria is priced at 2.26, AD Ceuta's victory is at 3.08, and a draw is at 3.32. The probability of an Almeria win is 41.42%, a draw is 28.19%, and a win for AD Ceuta is 30.39%. Almeria is the slight favorite according to the odds, but a draw is also quite possible given the close percentages. The competition in the Segunda is traditionally tight, and this match is no exception according to bookmakers' expectations.

Team Results and Statistics

AD Ceuta FC averages 49.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game over their last five matches. Almeria, in comparison, has 48.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three outings, AD Ceuta lost 1-2 to Deportivo La Coruña, 1-2 to Leganés, and 0-2 to Córdoba. Almeria, on the other hand, secured convincing victories against Leganés (3-0), Cádiz (3-0), and Eibar (3-1). There is no recent head-to-head record between these teams. Overall, Almeria shows more consistent performance in both attack and defense, which is reflected in their yellow card and offside stats.

Goals Statistics

In the last five games, AD Ceuta had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. For Almeria, there were three matches with over 2.5 goals and two with under. Both teams have had two out of five first halves with over 1.5 goals, with a similar pattern in the second half. On average, AD Ceuta scores 2.2 goals per match, while Almeria scores 2.6. AD Ceuta scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.2, whereas Almeria scores 2.2 and concedes only 0.4. AD Ceuta often scores in the first 15 minutes (29%) and from the 31st to 45th minute (29%), while Almeria scores most frequently from the 16th to 30th and 31st to 45th minutes (25% each). In terms of goals conceded, AD Ceuta has a more even distribution, whereas Almeria concedes evenly across all intervals with a maximum of 20% in each. Given Almeria's consistent scoring of over 2 goals per match and solid defense, betting on Almeria’s individual total over 1.5 at 2.13 seems a logical choice.

Corner Analysis

AD Ceuta averages 4.4 corners over their last five games, while Almeria averages 4.8. The total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for both teams in this period. The odds for corners: over 8.25 is at 1.52, and under is at 2.43. Almeria is favored in corners with odds of 1.97. Considering the average activity of both teams and the frequency of hitting the 9.5 total, betting on over 8.25 corners looks justified for this match.