Prediction for match AD Ceuta FC — Cadiz

Who is the favorite in the AD Ceuta vs Cadiz match?

On March 28, in the Spanish Segunda, AD Ceuta will face Cadiz. According to the 1X2 odds, AD Ceuta is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.24, Cadiz's victory is at 3.34, and a draw is at 3.38. The probabilities are distributed as follows: AD Ceuta - 42.86%, draw - 28.40%, Cadiz - 28.74%. This reflects a moderate advantage for AD Ceuta, but Cadiz is not without hope. Meanwhile, the odds on total goals and both teams to score are quite balanced, indicating uncertainty regarding the match's goal-scoring potential.

Team results and statistics

In the last three matches, AD Ceuta lost to Leganes 2-5 (21.03), lost to Deportivo La Coruña 1-2 (14.03), and suffered a heavy defeat to Las Palmas 0-4 (08.03). Cadiz, in their last three games, lost to Malaga 0-3 (21.03), defeated Mirandes 2-0 (13.03), and lost to Real Zaragoza 0-1 (06.03). Looking at the average stats over the last five games, AD Ceuta has 49% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Cadiz has 49.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on September 28, 2025, the teams played to a 0-0 draw, indicating a tough and cautious battle.

How many goals will be in the AD Ceuta vs Cadiz match?

Over a series of five matches, AD Ceuta has an average total of 4 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.6. Cadiz has an average total of 2.4, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8. In terms of matches with over 2.5 goals, AD Ceuta has 4 out of 5 games being high-scoring, while Cadiz has only 2 out of 5. In terms of halves, both teams have 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, but only 2 out of 5 with over 1.5 in the second half. AD Ceuta often scores in the intervals 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (23% each), while Cadiz scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (67%). For goals conceded, AD Ceuta's notable intervals are 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 (29% each), while Cadiz's are 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 (22% each). Despite AD Ceuta's recent high scoring, Cadiz shows low attacking output (0.6 goals per game) and tends to play cautiously, as confirmed by their last head-to-head (0-0). This makes a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.86 justified, considering Cadiz's low scoring and cautious approach in head-to-head matches.

Corners: numbers and potential bets

For the average number of corners over the last five matches, AD Ceuta has 3.8, and Cadiz has 4. The frequency of matches with over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for AD Ceuta and 1 out of 5 for Cadiz. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the averages (7.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.58, under 8.5 at 2.15. For the outcome on corners, AD Ceuta is the favorite with odds of 1.68. Overall, both teams do not stand out with high corner stats, and a bet on under 8.5 or 9 corners seems logical, considering the average values and frequencies.