Prediction for match AD Ceuta FC — Granada

Match Analysis: AD Ceuta FC vs Granada

In the Segunda on February 20, 2026, AD Ceuta FC will face Granada. The odds for AD Ceuta FC to win are 2.73, for Granada to win - 2.88, and a draw is priced at 3.04. The probabilities are as follows: 35.14% for AD Ceuta FC, 31.55% for a draw, and 33.31% for Granada. These figures indicate that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, with both teams having roughly equal chances of winning. The goal total line offers interesting options, especially considering the teams' recent results and attacking potential. The options for goal totals and both teams to score also look balanced, but the main interest is in the over 2.0 goals line at odds of 1.62.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, AD Ceuta FC had 52.4% ball possession, averaged 2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Granada, over the same period, had 51.2% possession, recorded 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three encounters, AD Ceuta FC lost to Huesca 0-2 (February 15, 2026), lost to Almería 2-4 (February 1, 2026), and defeated Cultural Leonesa 3-1 (January 26, 2026). Granada recently thrashed Real Valladolid 5-1 (February 14, 2026), lost to Leganés 0-1 (February 6, 2026), and beat Racing Santander 1-0 (February 1, 2026). In their last head-to-head on December 7, 2025, the teams drew 1-1. These results show that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, as well as not shying away from tough on-field battles.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, AD Ceuta FC has an average total of 3.6 goals per game, while Granada has 2.2. AD Ceuta FC scores 1.2 and concedes 2.4 per match, whereas Granada scores 1.6 and concedes only 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, AD Ceuta FC has 4 out of 5 games, Granada 2 out of 5. In the first half, AD Ceuta FC has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, while Granada has only 1 out of 5. In the second half, AD Ceuta FC also has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, Granada 1 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, AD Ceuta FC most frequently scores and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (42% and 43%), while Granada is most prolific in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes evenly across three intervals - 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (33% each). These numbers suggest that the match could be high-scoring, especially considering the attacking stats of both teams and AD Ceuta FC's frequent overs on 2.5 goals. The main prediction is over 2.0 goals at 1.62.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five matches, AD Ceuta FC averaged 5.2 corners, and Granada 4.4. For over 9.5 corners, AD Ceuta FC has 3 out of 5, Granada 1 out of 5. Among the available totals, the 9.5 line is closest to the average sum (9.6): over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.06, under 9.5 at 1.63. AD Ceuta FC is the favorite on corner outcomes with odds of 1.85. Considering the average activity on deliveries and AD Ceuta FC's frequent overs, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 corners option, as well as AD Ceuta FC's advantage on corner outcomes.