Prediction for match AEK Athens — Shamrock Rovers, 06.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The UEFA Conference League on November 6th features a clash between AEK Athens and Shamrock Rovers. The bookmakers' odds for the main outcomes are: AEK Athens win at 1.14, a draw at 7.50, and a Shamrock Rovers win at 17.00. Probability-wise, there's an 82.03% chance for AEK Athens to win, 12.47% for a draw, and 5.50% for a Shamrock Rovers victory. This disparity in odds and percentages highlights AEK Athens as the clear favorite. Meanwhile, a draw or a win for the Irish side comes with very high odds, reflecting the significant difference between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, AEK Athens has an average ball possession of 60.6%, committing 3.2 yellow cards, 16.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Shamrock Rovers have 61.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Recent results show: AEK Athens 1-0 Panetolikos (02.11), Olympiacos 2-0 AEK Athens (26.10), AEK Athens 6-0 Aberdeen (23.10). For Shamrock Rovers: Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers (01.11), Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Galway United (29.10), Derry City 2-1 Shamrock Rovers (26.10). There are no head-to-head records. Both teams show high possession, but AEK Athens fouls more and receives more yellow cards, whereas Shamrock Rovers commit fewer fouls. Additionally, the Greeks have a higher average of corners per game (5 compared to 3.6 for their opponents).

Goals by Match Statistics

In five matches, AEK Athens averages 3.2 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Shamrock Rovers average 2 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4. In 5 matches, both teams had over 2.5 goals twice, and under 2.5 goals three times. AEK Athens hit over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, while Shamrock Rovers did so once. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals twice. Goal intervals show AEK Athens often scores between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (27%), while Shamrock Rovers score most in the 61-75 minute range (40%). In terms of goals conceded, AEK Athens is most vulnerable between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (40%), while Shamrock Rovers are most vulnerable between 31-45 minutes (60%). Considering Shamrock Rovers' low scoring and AEK's solid defense, a bet on BTTS: No at 1.57 seems logical. Neither team has shown notable scoring over 2.5 goals in the last 5 games, and there's a significant difference in goals scored between the teams.

Corners in the Match

AEK Athens averages 5 corners per match, while Shamrock Rovers average 3.6. For over 9.5 corners, AEK Athens achieved this once in 5 games, and Shamrock Rovers never did in the same period. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.10, and under 9.5 is 1.67. AEK Athens is favored to win the corner count at 1.09. Based on both teams' statistics, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, given the rarity of surpassing this mark in recent matches. AEK Athens consistently delivers more corners than their opponent, but on average, both teams fall short of high corner totals. The fact that Shamrock Rovers never exceeded 9.5 corners in 5 games supports the lower total bet.