Prediction for match Ajax — Benfica, 25.11.2025

Match Analysis: Ajax vs Benfica

The UEFA Champions League will feature a match between Ajax and Benfica, scheduled for November 25, 2025. According to the odds, Benfica is favored to win at 1.97, a draw is at 3.82, and an Ajax victory is at 4.06. In terms of probability, Benfica has a 49.98% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.77%, and Ajax has a 24.25% chance. Benfica is clearly the stronger team according to the bookmakers' expectations, making them the main favorite in this clash. This matchup always draws attention due to the history of encounters between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Ajax has averaged 55.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Benfica's averages are 57.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Ajax's last three games: November 22, 2025, Ajax vs Excelsior 1-2, November 9, 2025, Utrecht vs Ajax 2-1, November 5, 2025, Ajax vs Galatasaray 0-3. Benfica's recent games: November 9, 2025, Benfica vs Casa Pia 2-2, November 5, 2025, Benfica vs Bayer 0-1, November 1, 2025, Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica 0-3. In their last head-to-head on March 15, 2022, Ajax lost to Benfica 0-1, with the total goals being under 2.5.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, both teams have shown high scoring potential: Ajax and Benfica have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games. For Ajax, over 1.5 goals in the first half didn't occur, but in the second half, it happened in 4 out of 5 games. For Benfica, it happened once in the first half and 4 times in the second half. Average goals over five matches: Ajax scored 1.2 and conceded 2, while Benfica scored 2 and conceded 1.2, with a combined average total of 3.2. Goal intervals for Ajax: most goals are scored between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), and most conceded between 46-60 minutes (60%). Benfica's goal intervals are more evenly spread: 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (20% each). Most goals conceded by Benfica occur between 61-75 minutes (57%). This indicates a strong tendency for second-half activity and a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, which is priced at 1.78.

Corners in the Match

Average corners over five matches: Ajax 4.4, Benfica 7. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: both teams 2 out of 5. The line for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.85, under 9.5 is also at 1.85. For corners, Benfica is the favorite with odds of 1.72. Considering Benfica consistently delivers many corners, it's logical to consider their advantage in this aspect or the overall total of over 9.5 corners.