Prediction for match Ajax — Groningen, 02.12.2025

Match Analysis: Ajax vs Groningen

On November 30, in the Dutch Eredivisie, Ajax will face Groningen. The odds are as follows: Ajax win at 1.71, draw at 4.05, Groningen win at 4.73. According to bookmakers' estimates, the probabilities are: Ajax - 56.06%, draw - 23.67%, Groningen - 20.27%. Ajax is favored by the odds, but the gap between the teams is not critical, leaving room for competition.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Ajax has averaged 59.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Groningen's averages are: 51.2% possession, 1 yellow card, 9.4 fouls, and 1 offside. Ajax's last three matches: November 25 - Ajax vs Benfica 0-2, November 22 - Ajax vs Excelsior 1-2, November 9 - Utrecht vs Ajax 2-1. Groningen's: November 23 - Groningen vs Zwolle 2-2, November 9 - NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen 2-0, November 2 - Groningen vs Twente 1-1. In their head-to-head on May 14, 2025, Groningen and Ajax drew 2-2, with the total over 2.5 goals. Recent encounters between these teams have often been high-scoring.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Ajax has averaged 2.6 total goals in their last five games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2. Groningen shows a higher average total - 3.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2. For the over 2.5 goals market: both teams have seen 3 out of 5 matches go over. In the first half, Ajax has not hit over 1.5 goals, while Groningen has done so in 2 of 5. In the second half, Ajax has 3 out of 5 matches over 1.5, and Groningen 5 out of 5. For goal timing, Ajax frequently scores between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute marks (50% each), and Groningen between 46-60 minutes (36%). Conceding: Ajax often concedes between 46-60 minutes (33%), Groningen in the first 15 minutes (43%). Both teams have a strong tendency for a productive second half, especially Groningen. The match shows potential for both teams to score, supported by averages and frequency of over totals. An optimal bet is on both teams to score at 1.64.

Corner Totals Analysis

Ajax averages 6.2 corners per game, Groningen 7. For the over 9.5 corners market: Ajax has 3 out of 5 matches over, Groningen 5 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (13.2) is 11.5. Odds for this are: over 11.5 corners - 3.34, under 11.5 - 1.24. In the corner outcomes market, Ajax is favored with odds of 1.59. The high averages and frequent over 9.5 totals suggest there could be many corners. It's worth considering over 11.5 corners, though the odds reflect some uncertainty.