Prediction for match Ajax — Groningen

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On May 21, 2026, Ajax will face Groningen in the Eredivisie. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Ajax win at 1.88, draw at 3.93, and Groningen win at 3.89. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Ajax - 50.98%, draw - 24.39%, Groningen - 24.64%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.47, and for over 2.75 goals - 1.61. Both teams to score: yes at 1.48, no at 2.47. Ajax's individual total over 1.5 is priced at 1.65, and the same for Groningen is 2.49. Double chance 1X is at 1.26, X2 at 1.94.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession over the last five matches, Ajax averages 52.4%, while Groningen averages 52%. The average number of yellow cards: Ajax 1.8, Groningen 1. For fouls, Ajax registers 7.8, Groningen 8.8. Offsides: Ajax 0.6, Groningen 2.4. In Ajax's last three matches: 17.05.2026 Heerenveen - Ajax 0-0, 10.05.2026 Ajax - Utrecht 1-2, 02.05.2026 Ajax - PSV 2-2. For Groningen: 17.05.2026 Heracles - Groningen 1-2, 10.05.2026 Groningen - NEC Nijmegen 2-1, 02.05.2026 Groningen - Excelsior 2-3. The last head-to-head match was on 07.03.2026: Groningen - Ajax 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Ajax has an average of 2.4 goals per game, while Groningen averages 3. For goals scored: Ajax - 1.6, Groningen - 1.4; for goals conceded: Ajax - 0.8, Groningen - 1.6. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Ajax and 4 out of 5 for Groningen. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: both teams have 3 out of 5. In the second half, Ajax has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Groningen has 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Ajax most often scores between 76-90 minutes - 67%, Groningen - 25% in three different intervals (0-15, 16-30, 46-60). For goals conceded: Ajax 33% in intervals 16-30 and 76-90, Groningen 43% in the final minutes (76-90). Overall, both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, with Groningen more frequently playing over 2.5 total goals. Therefore, a bet on over 2.75 goals appears logical, especially with odds at 1.61.

Corners in the Match

Ajax averages 4.6 corners per match, Groningen - 5.2. In the last 5 matches, Ajax had 5 out of 5 over 9.5 total corners, Groningen had 4 out of 5. The line for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.62, under 9.5 at 2.18. Given that both teams consistently earn many corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, no clear favorite emerges in terms of corners, but both teams tend to play attacking football, increasing the likelihood of a high number of corners.