Tips for match Ajax — Heerenveen, 01.11.2025

Match Analysis: Ajax vs Heerenveen

In the Eredivisie on November 1st, Ajax and Heerenveen will face off. The odds for an Ajax victory are set at 1.53, a draw at 4.50, and a Heerenveen win at 5.25. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Ajax 61.3%, draw 20.8%, Heerenveen 17.9%. Ajax is the clear favorite, but the visitors have their chances according to the odds. Predictions for the main outcomes are quite balanced, but there's a noticeable tilt towards the home team.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Ajax has an average possession of 50.6%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Heerenveen shows 56.2% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 10.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. Ajax's last three matches: 26.10 - Twente vs Ajax 2-3, 22.10 - Chelsea vs Ajax 5-1, 18.10 - Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar 0-2. Heerenveen's last three games: 28.10 - VVV-Venlo vs Heerenveen 0-3, 24.10 - Heerenveen vs NAC Breda 3-3, 19.10 - Telstar vs Heerenveen 2-3. In their last head-to-head on 19.01.2025, Heerenveen and Ajax played 0-2, with under 2.5 goals. In the previous encounter on 11.08.2024, Ajax vs Heerenveen ended 1-0, again a low-scoring result. On 11.02.2024, Heerenveen defeated Ajax 3-2, with over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Ajax had over 2.5 total goals 4 times, while Heerenveen had it 5 out of 5 times. By halves: Ajax had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 out of 5 times, and in the second half 2 out of 5; Heerenveen in the first half 2 out of 5, and in the second half 5 out of 5. The average goal count over 5 games: Ajax 4.6 goals per match, Heerenveen 4.2. Goals scored: Ajax 1.4, Heerenveen 2.6; goals conceded - 3.2 and 1.6 respectively. Ajax most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (29%), while Heerenveen scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (56%). Goals conceded: Ajax peaks between the 31st and 45th and the 46th and 60th minutes (33% each), Heerenveen between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%). All this indicates a high likelihood of both teams scoring: both teams regularly find the net, average goal stats are high, and both defenses show weaknesses. Prediction - both teams to score, odds 1.53.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners over 5 matches: Ajax averages 3.4, Heerenveen 6.4. Over 9.5 corners was achieved by both teams 2 out of 5 times. The line for total corners over 9.5 is set at 1.83 for both over and under. Ajax is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.50, while Heerenveen is at 3.10. Based on statistics, a bet on Heerenveen's individual corner total over 5.5 seems logical, given their average. It's also noted that Ajax's corner count is significantly lower, making a bet on over 9.5 corners less reliable. Heerenveen recorded a maximum of 8 corners in five matches, while Ajax had a maximum of 6. Heerenveen's higher corner performance in recent games also supports this.