Prediction for match Al-Ahli — Al-Ettifaq, 28.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Saudi Pro League match on January 28, Al-Ahli will face Al-Ettifaq. Al-Ahli is favored with odds of 1.31 for the win, a draw is at 4.85, and Al-Ettifaq's victory is at 7.65. Probability-wise: Al-Ahli - 69.38%, draw - 18.74%, Al-Ettifaq - 11.88%. For over 2.5 goals, bookmakers offer 1.53, while "both teams to score: yes" is at 1.78. The over/under 3.0 goals is evenly set at 1.81, indicating attention to both teams' attacking potential. For Al-Ahli's team total over 2, the odds are 1.70.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al-Ahli has shown strong form: January 24 - Neom vs Al-Ahli 0-3, January 20 - Al-Ahli vs Al-Khaleej 4-1, January 17 - Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli 0-1. Al-Ettifaq's recent form includes: January 24 - Al-Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq 1-2, January 21 - Al-Ettifaq vs Neom 0-0, January 16 - Al-Ittihad vs Al-Ettifaq 0-1. In their head-to-head on September 12, 2025, Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ahli drew 0-0. Secondary stats show Al-Ahli averages 49.8% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 18 fouls, and 2.2 offsides over five games. Al-Ettifaq averages 47.8% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Al-Ahli averages 2.6 total goals per game, while Al-Ettifaq averages 2.8. Al-Ahli scores 2.2 goals per game and concedes 0.4, whereas Al-Ettifaq scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches. In the first half, Al-Ahli has not exceeded 1.5 total goals (0 out of 5), while Al-Ettifaq did twice. In the second half, Al-Ahli exceeded 1.5 goals 3 times out of 5, Al-Ettifaq 2 times. Goal intervals show Al-Ahli scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Al-Ettifaq scores between 61-75 minutes (40%). Al-Ahli concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (43%), while Al-Ettifaq has two peaks for conceding: 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (33% each). These data confirm both teams can create chances in the second half, with Al-Ahli consistently converting their opportunities. Considering both teams' over 2.5 goals trends and their second-half scoring, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.53 is logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Al-Ahli averages 7.2 corners per game, while Al-Ettifaq averages 3.6. For over 9.5 corners: Al-Ahli had only 1 out of 5 games go over, Al-Ettifaq 3 out of 5. The total closest to their combined average (10.8) is 9.5, but only the over 9.5 line is quoted. Given this, considering the average figures, an over 9.5 corners bet is reasonable. Overall, Al-Ahli consistently earns many corners, and Al-Ettifaq often sees games go over 9.5, which may lead to active play and numerous set-pieces.