Prediction for match Al-Ahli — Al Fateh

Match Analysis: Al-Ahli vs Al Fateh

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on May 6, 2026, Al-Ahli hosts Al Fateh. In the 1X2 betting market, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite with odds of 1.21, implying a 76.97% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 6.62 (14.07%), while a victory for Al Fateh is at 10.40 (8.96%). In the goal totals market, the line for Over 3.0 is at 1.55, while Under 3.5 is at 1.74. For both teams to score, 'Yes' is at 1.73, and 'No' is at 1.97. For individual team totals, Al-Ahli to score over 2 goals is at 1.45, and Al Fateh to score over 0.5 goals is at 1.70. The odds for exact scores are 2-0 at 7.00, 2-1 at 8.00, 3-0 at 8.50, 1-0 at 9.50, 3-1 at 9.50, and 1-1 at 11.00.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al-Ahli has averaged 54.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 3.6 offsides. Al Fateh has averaged 49% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1 offside. Al-Ahli's recent results include: May 3, 2026 - Al-Ahli 4-0 Al Akhdood, April 29, 2026 - Al Nassr 2-0 Al-Ahli, April 25, 2026 - Al-Ahli 1-0 Machida Zelvia. Al Fateh's recent results include: May 2, 2026 - Al Fateh 2-2 Neom, April 28, 2026 - Al Shabab 1-1 Al Fateh, April 24, 2026 - Al Fateh 1-0 Al Khaleej. In their last head-to-head on December 26, 2025, Al Fateh defeated Al-Ahli 2-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Al-Ahli vs Al Fateh

In Al-Ahli's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and under 2.5 goals occurred 2 times. For Al Fateh, over 2.5 goals happened once and under 2.5 goals occurred 4 times. By halves, Al-Ahli had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times and in the second half also 2 times. Al Fateh had no occurrences of over 1.5 goals in the first half and only once in the second half. Al-Ahli averages 2.6 total goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. Al Fateh averages 1.8 total goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. Al-Ahli frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (44%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (67%). Al Fateh most often scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (60%) and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Given Al-Ahli's high scoring rate and Al Fateh's not-so-reliable defense, expecting at least three goals in this match is reasonable. Al-Ahli consistently scores over 1.5 goals per game, while Al Fateh rarely shows high scoring but may find the net in the second half. The bet on over 3.0 goals seems justified by the statistics.

Corner Bets

On average, Al-Ahli earns 3.6 corners per match, and Al Fateh earns 4.4. In their last five matches, Al-Ahli's total corners over 9.5 occurred twice, while Al Fateh's occurred four times. The line for total corners is set at 8.5, with odds of 1.65 for over 8.5 and 2.10 for under 8.5. For a total of 9.5 corners, the odds are 2.20 for over 9.5 and 1.65 for under 9.5. Combined, the teams average 8 corners per game, but Al Fateh's frequency of over 9.5 corners is higher. Considering both teams' activity in this aspect, betting on over 8.5 corners is logical. Additionally, Al Fateh often exceeds 4 corners in recent matches, which could impact the overall total.