Prediction for match Al-Ahli — Al Hazm, 05.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the upcoming Saudi Pro League match between Al-Ahli and Al Hazm on February 5, 2026, bookmakers give Al Hazm little chance. Al-Ahli's victory is priced at 1.14, a draw at 6.65, and an Al Hazm win at 12.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Al-Ahli - 78.96%, draw - 13.54%, Al Hazm - 7.50%. This reflects the current balance of power and the recent statistics of both teams. Al-Ahli's advantage in odds and probabilities is very convincing, as confirmed by the results of previous matches between these opponents.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al-Ahli has an average ball possession of 49.8%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 15.6 fouls, and records 2.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Al Hazm has 44.4% possession, receives 2.2 yellows, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times. Al-Ahli's last three matches: February 2 - Al-Hilal 0-0 Al-Ahli, January 28 - Al-Ahli 4-0 Al-Ettifaq, January 24 - Neom 0-3 Al-Ahli. Al Hazm's recent games: February 1 - Al Fateh 1-1 Al Hazm, January 29 - Al Hazm 0-4 Al Shabab, January 26 - Al Hazm 2-1 Damac. Their last head-to-head was on September 26, 2025: Al Hazm 0-2 Al-Ahli.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Al-Ahli had over 2.5 goals in three games and under in two. Al Hazm had over 2.5 goals in four out of five matches, with only one under. Al-Ahli averages 2.6 goals per game, while Al Hazm averages 3.8. Al-Ahli scores an average of 2.4 goals per match and concedes only 0.2. Al Hazm scores 1.2 and concedes 2.6. In terms of half-time goals, Al-Ahli had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five games, while Al Hazm never had over 1.5 in the first half. In the second half, Al-Ahli had over 1.5 goals three times, Al Hazm four out of five. Al-Ahli most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (38%), while Al Hazm scores in the same interval with 71%. Al-Ahli concedes most between the 61st and 75th minute (60%), Al Hazm between the 46th and 60th minute (38%). Overall, both teams tend to have a productive end to their matches, and Al-Ahli consistently scores more than two goals per game. In this context, a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.50 seems logical: both teams often play high-scoring games, and Al-Ahli can practically ensure the required level of goals on their own.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Al-Ahli averages 6.6 corners per match, while Al Hazm averages 2.8. In the last five games, both teams had two instances of over 9.5 corners. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.75. Based on average statistics, Al-Ahli takes almost two and a half times more corners than Al Hazm. This suggests a bet on Al-Ahli's advantage in corners. Overall, Al-Ahli is expected to attack more and create more set-piece opportunities, potentially leading to a high corner count in the match.