Prediction for match Al-Ahli — Al Ittihad

Match Analysis: Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on March 6, Al-Ahli will face Al Ittihad. Al-Ahli is favored to win with odds of 1.79, a draw is priced at 3.66, and an Al Ittihad victory is at 3.74. The probabilities suggest Al-Ahli has a 50.82% chance of winning, a draw is at 24.86%, and Al Ittihad has a 24.32% chance. This makes Al-Ahli the favorite, but the gap isn't overwhelming, adding intrigue to the match. Among the main odds for totals, the over 2.5 goals at 1.64 stands out as the most attractive bet considering the teams' scoring abilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession over the last five matches, Al-Ahli averages 47.6%, while Al Ittihad averages 52.8%. Al-Ahli records an average of 1.2 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 4 offsides per game, whereas Al Ittihad averages 2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Al-Ahli secured victories: on 26.02.2026, Al Riyadh - Al-Ahli 0-1, on 23.02.2026, Damac - Al-Ahli 0-1, and on 19.02.2026, Al-Ahli - Al-Najma 4-1. Al Ittihad played as follows: on 27.02.2026, Al Ittihad - Al Khaleej 1-0, on 24.02.2026, Al Hazm - Al Ittihad 1-1, and on 21.02.2026, Al-Hilal - Al Ittihad 1-1. The last head-to-head match was on 08.11.2025: Al Ittihad - Al-Ahli 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Statistics for totals confirm Al-Ahli's high scoring: in the last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 games for them, and in 2 out of 5 for Al Ittihad. The average number of goals in Al-Ahli's matches is 4.2, while for Al Ittihad, it's 2.6. Al-Ahli scores an average of 3 goals per game and concedes 1.2, while Al Ittihad scores 1.8 and concedes 0.8. For halves, Al-Ahli had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times, and in the second half 2 out of 5. Al Ittihad had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of 5, and in the second half 2 out of 5. Al-Ahli most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (45%), and concedes between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (27% each). Al Ittihad's most productive periods are the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), and they concede most often between the 46th-60th minutes (29%). Overall, the goal statistics and the frequency of over 2.5 goals suggest that betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.64 is justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Al-Ahli averages 6.2 corners per match, while Al Ittihad averages 4.4. Over the last five matches, the total over 9.5 corners occurred once for both teams. The odds for corners closest to the combined average of both teams (10.6) is a total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.89, under 9.5 is at 1.77. In terms of corner outcomes, Al-Ahli is favored with odds of 1.63. Considering the averages, it is logical to expect the number of corners to range between 9-11, with a slight edge for Al-Ahli in terms of corner kicks.