Prediction for match Al-Ahli — Al-Qadisiyah, 28.11.2025

Match Analysis: Al-Ahli vs Al-Qadisiyah

The King's Cup continues to deliver intriguing matchups, with Al-Ahli set to face Al-Qadisiyah on November 28, 2025. The odds show a slight edge for Al-Ahli: their victory is priced at 1.99, a draw at 3.32, and a win for Al-Qadisiyah at 3.38. In terms of probability, Al-Ahli's win is estimated at 45.70%, a draw at 27.39%, and Al-Qadisiyah's victory at 26.91%. This spread indicates that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, but Al-Ahli has a slight advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al-Ahli averaged 46% possession, 3 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. In the same period, Al-Qadisiyah showed 58% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Let's recall the last three matches for each team: Al-Ahli vs Sharjah 0-1 (24.11.2025), Al-Ahli vs Al-Qadisiyah 2-1 (21.11.2025), Al Ittihad vs Al-Ahli 0-1 (08.11.2025); for Al-Qadisiyah: Al-Ahli vs Al-Qadisiyah 2-1 (21.11.2025), Al-Qadisiyah vs Al-Kholud 4-0 (06.11.2025), Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadisiyah 2-0 (01.11.2025). The last head-to-head was on November 21, 2025, ending in a 2-1 win for Al-Ahli, with over 2.5 goals scored.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Al-Ahli had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches, while Al-Qadisiyah had 3 out of 5. By halves, Al-Ahli never had over 1.5 goals in the first half, but had 3 out of 5 in the second half. Al-Qadisiyah had over 1.5 goals once in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. On average, Al-Ahli scored 2 goals per match, and Al-Qadisiyah 2.6. In terms of scoring, Al-Qadisiyah looks slightly more prolific, scoring 1.6 goals per match and conceding 1. Meanwhile, Al-Ahli averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both teams most frequently score between the 61st and 75th minutes: Al-Ahli 50%, Al-Qadisiyah 56%. Al-Ahli concedes most often between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), while Al-Qadisiyah's conceded goals are evenly spread across four intervals, including 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each). Given these stats, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems logical.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners for Al-Ahli in their last five matches is 4, and for Al-Qadisiyah, it's 7.6. The over 9.5 corners occurred 3 out of 5 times for both teams. Based on the average total (11.6), the closest total is 11, with bets available: over 11 at 2.94, under 11 at 1.32. In the corners outcome market, Al-Ahli is the favorite with odds of 1.37. Considering Al-Qadisiyah's recent activity in deliveries, a bet on over 11 corners could be considered, especially if both teams continue their attacking approach.