Prediction for match Al Akhdoud — Al Nassr

Match Analysis: Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League, Al Akhdoud will face Al Nassr on 11.04.2026. The odds heavily favor Al Nassr, with their victory priced at 1.07, reflecting an 87.47% probability. A draw is priced at 12.10 (7.73%), while a win for Al Akhdoud is at 19.50 (4.80%). This disparity is not just due to their league positions but also their current form: Al Nassr consistently scores heavily and rarely slips up. In contrast, Al Akhdoud struggles against stronger opponents, which is reflected in their chances for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al Akhdoud averages 44.8% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Al Nassr outperforms them with 60.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Al Akhdoud's results were: 05.04.2026 - Al Akhdoud 1-0 Al Fateh, 14.03.2026 - Al Shabab 2-0 Al Akhdoud, 07.03.2026 - Al Akhdoud 0-5 Al Fayha. Al Nassr's recent matches: 03.04.2026 - Al Nassr 5-2 Al-Najma, 14.03.2026 - Al Khaleej 0-5 Al Nassr, 07.03.2026 - Al Nassr 1-0 Neom. Their last head-to-head was on 27.12.2025: Al Nassr 3-0 Al Akhdoud.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Al Akhdoud has an average total of 3 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 2 on average. Al Nassr boasts even more impressive numbers, with an average of 4.4 goals per game, scoring 3.8 and conceding only 0.6. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 3 of Al Akhdoud's last 5 matches, and in 4 of Al Nassr's last 5. Al Akhdoud has scored over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in 5 matches, but in the second half, they've done so 3 times. Al Nassr has surpassed 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, and 4 times in the second half. Al Akhdoud often scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (33% each), but concedes most in the final stages: 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Al Nassr's peak scoring period is the 31st-45th minute (43%), and they concede most frequently in the 76th-90th minute (31%). Given Al Nassr's high scoring rate and frequent over totals, a bet on over 3.5 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Al Akhdoud averages 3.4 corners per match, while Al Nassr averages 6.8. In their last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Al Akhdoud and 2 times for Al Nassr. Considering the average corners of both teams, a total over 9.5 is worth considering. Both over and under 9.5 corners are priced at 1.83. Al Nassr is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.06. Given Al Nassr's high activity on the flanks and Al Akhdoud's less reliable defense, it's logical to expect Al Nassr to win more corners, and the total corners might exceed 9.5.