Prediction for match Al-Ettifaq — Al Nassr, 30.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Saudi Pro League on December 30, Al-Ettifaq will face Al Nassr. According to the 1X2 odds, Al Nassr is the favorite with odds of 1.23 and a probability of 73.93%. A draw is priced at 5.60 with a probability of 16.24%, while a win for Al-Ettifaq is at 9.25 with a 9.83% chance. This reflects Al Nassr's significant advantage in current form and recent match results. The betting line also includes totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but Al Nassr stands out as the main contender for victory in this match. It's important to note that Al Nassr consistently shows a high level of chance conversion and solid defensive play, further reinforcing their status as favorites.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al-Ettifaq shows 56.2% ball possession, receives an average of 1.2 yellow cards, commits 8.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times per game. Al Nassr, over the same period, holds 63.6% possession, receives 1.8 yellows, commits 10.8 fouls, and is offside 3.2 times. In their last three matches, Al-Ettifaq: 25.12.2025 Al Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq 0-2, 22.11.2025 Al-Ettifaq - Al Fayha 3-2, 08.11.2025 Al Shabab - Al-Ettifaq 1-1. Al Nassr: 27.12.2025 Al Nassr - Al Akhdoud 3-0, 23.11.2025 Al Nassr - Al Khaleej 4-1, 08.11.2025 Al Suqoor - Al Nassr 1-3. Their last head-to-head meeting was on 21.02.2025: Al Nassr - Al-Ettifaq 2-3. These results confirm that both teams are capable of producing high-scoring matches, but Al Nassr more often secures convincing wins by several goals.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Al-Ettifaq averages 3.2 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. Al Nassr shows even more impressive numbers: 3.8 goals on average, with 3.2 scored and only 0.6 conceded. For over 2.5 total goals, Al-Ettifaq has 3 out of 5 matches over, and Al Nassr has 5 out of 5 over. In the first half, Al-Ettifaq has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while in the second half, it's 4 out of 5, indicating a tendency to be more active after the break. Al Nassr has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in both halves. Al-Ettifaq most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes late (76-90 minutes, 50%). Al Nassr's most frequent goals are in the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (43% each), while they concede most often between 46-60 minutes (40%). Overall, both teams display a strong over-profile, especially Al Nassr, who consistently scores 3 or more goals per game. In such a scenario, a bet on over 3.25 goals at 1.66 seems logical, considering the high scoring nature of both sides and frequent over 2.5 hits.

Corner Totals Analysis

Al-Ettifaq averages 4.8 corners per match, Al Nassr - 6.6. In the last 5 games, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the sum of average values (11.4) is the line at 11 corners: over 11 corners - 2.40, under 11 - 1.51. For the corner outcome, Al Nassr is the favorite with odds of 1.18. Given that both teams frequently win corners and Al Nassr regularly dominates in this aspect, betting on over 11 corners seems justified for risky strategies, but for a main bet, the goal market is preferable.