Prediction for match Al Fateh — Al-Najma

Match Analysis: Al Fateh vs Al-Najma

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League, Al Fateh will face Al-Najma on 14.05.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Al Fateh is the favorite with odds of 1.47, a draw is priced at 4.67, and an Al-Najma win is at 5.65. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Al Fateh - 63.49%, Draw - 19.99%, Al-Najma - 16.52%. The betting market also offers various options for total goals and both teams to score, but the main prediction for this match is both teams to score: yes at 1.54.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al Fateh has averaged 48.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Al-Najma averages 39.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three games, Al Fateh played as follows: 10.05.2026 Al Riyadh - Al Fateh 1-0, 06.05.2026 Al Ahli - Al Fateh 3-1, 02.05.2026 Al Fateh - Neom 2-2. Al-Najma's last three matches were: 09.05.2026 Al-Najma - Al Hazm 2-2, 04.05.2026 Al-Ettifaq - Al-Najma 0-0, 28.04.2026 Al Khaleej - Al-Najma 3-1. In their last head-to-head on 16.01.2026, Al-Najma and Al Fateh drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Al Fateh has gone over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while Al-Najma has gone over 2.5 goals four times out of five. On average, Al Fateh scores 1 goal and concedes 1.4, while Al-Najma scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6, with an overall average total of 2.4 and 2.8 respectively. Al Fateh has not surpassed 1.5 goals in the first half, but has done so twice in the second half. Al-Najma has gone over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second. Al Fateh most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (38% each), while Al-Najma scores most often between the 46th-60th minutes (38%). Al Fateh concedes most in the 46th-60th minute (50%), while Al-Najma concedes most in the first 30 minutes (29% in each of the two intervals). Considering that both teams regularly score and concede, and Al-Najma's last four out of five matches saw both teams scoring, the bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.54 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Al Fateh averages 3.4 corners per game, and Al-Najma averages 2.4. Over the last five matches, Al Fateh had over 9.5 corners twice, and Al-Najma once. Considering the total corners, the closest line to the sum of both teams' averages is 6. The total corners over 6.5 is priced at 1.44, and under 6.5 is at 2.62. Statistically, neither team shows high activity in corners, so a bet on under 6.5 corners seems justified, considering the average values and frequencies.