Prediction for match Al Fateh — Al Nassr

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Al Fateh and Al Nassr in the Saudi Pro League is set for 14.02.2026. According to the bookmakers, Al Nassr is the clear favorite with odds of 1.27, implying a 71.66% chance of victory. Al Fateh is rated significantly lower, with odds of 7.44, reflecting a 12.23% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 5.65 with a 16.11% probability. This setup highlights the difference in class and current form between the teams. Al Nassr consistently earns points, while Al Fateh has been struggling in recent matches, as reflected in the outcome probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Al Fateh's last three matches, the team drew twice: on 07.02.2026 against Al Qadisiyah 1-1, and on 01.02.2026 against Al Hazm 1-1, while on 29.01.2026, Al Fateh and Al Ittihad ended in a 2-2 draw. In the same period, Al Nassr secured three victories: on 06.02.2026 against Al Ittihad 2-0, on 02.02.2026 against Al Riyadh 0-1, and on 30.01.2026 against Al Khaleej 0-3. Over their last five matches, Al Fateh has an average possession of 46.4%, commits 12.4 fouls, receives 2 yellow cards, and records 3.4 offsides per game. Al Nassr's averages are higher: 60.2% possession, 14.8 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 3.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 18.10.2025, Al Nassr thrashed Al Fateh 5-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Al Fateh's last five matches, the average total goals stand at 3.4, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 goals per game. For Al Nassr, the average total goals in the same period is 2, with 1.8 scored and just 0.2 conceded. Both teams have a 2 out of 5 balance on over 2.5 goals and 3 out of 5 on under. In the first half, Al Fateh recorded over 1.5 goals twice, while Al Nassr did not achieve this in five matches. In the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals three out of five times. Regarding goal intervals, Al Fateh most frequently scores between the 76th-90th minutes (44%), while Al Nassr does so with a 50% frequency in the same interval. Al Fateh concedes most often in three intervals: 0-15 (22%), 16-30 (22%), and 76-90 (22%). Al Nassr usually concedes between the 46th-60th minutes (50%). Overall, the statistics suggest a likelihood of both teams scoring, as Al Fateh's average goals exceed one, and Al Nassr consistently capitalizes on their chances. The odds for both teams to score: yes is 1.57, supporting expectations of a high-scoring match with goals from both sides.

Analysis of Total Corners

Al Fateh averages 6 corners per match, while Al Nassr averages 7, totaling 13. In their last five matches, Al Fateh surpassed the over 9.5 corners line four times, and Al Nassr did so twice. For the over 10.5 corners line, there are options for both outcomes: over is priced at 1.80, under at 1.86. Based on the average sum, betting on over 10.5 corners seems reasonable. For the outcome on corners, Al Nassr is the favorite with odds of 1.26. Overall, both teams actively earn corners, which could lead to high corner counts.