Prediction for match Al Fateh — Al Riyadh, 13.01.2026

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the Saudi Pro League match between Al Fateh and Al Riyadh, the bookmakers have Al Fateh as the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.75, a draw at 3.60, and a win for Al Riyadh at 4.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Al Fateh - 51.99%, draw - 25.27%, Al Riyadh - 22.74%. This setup reflects Al Fateh's advantage in expectations, though a draw is not out of the question. The odds on the main outcomes indicate that Al Fateh is considered the team most likely to win this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al Fateh has an average possession of 42%, receives an average of 3 yellow cards, commits 14.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Al Riyadh, over the same period, holds the ball for 43.4% of the time, gets 1.4 yellow cards, makes 14.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. In their last three games, Al Fateh beat Neom 1-0 (10.01.2026), defeated Al Shabab 2-0 (03.01.2026), and overcame Al Khaleej 1-0 (29.12.2025). Al Riyadh drew 1-1 with Al Fayha (10.01.2026), lost to Al Qadisiyah 0-4 (04.01.2026), and were defeated by Al Hazm 1-2 (29.12.2025). In their last head-to-head on 27.10.2025, Al Fateh beat Al Riyadh 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Al Fateh's average total goals per match is 2, while Al Riyadh's is 2.8. Al Fateh scores 1.4 goals per game and concedes 0.6, whereas Al Riyadh scores 0.6 and concedes 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: Al Fateh has 2 out of 5 matches over, Al Riyadh has 3 out of 5. By halves: Al Fateh has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, and all 5 matches under 1.5 in the second half. Al Riyadh has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, and 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second half. Al Fateh most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), and concedes most often between 31-45 (50%). Al Riyadh also most frequently scores between 76-90 (33%) and concedes in the same interval (50%). Considering Al Riyadh concedes a lot and Al Fateh scores consistently, it makes sense to consider over 2.5 goals at 1.61 as the main betting option.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Al Fateh earns 4 corners per match, while Al Riyadh gets 6.2, totaling 10.2. In the last 5 games, Al Fateh had 5 out of 5 matches over 9.5 corners, and Al Riyadh 3 out of 5. For corner totals, over 9.5 is priced at 1.67, under 9.5 at 2.12. For corner outcomes, Al Fateh is the favorite with odds of 1.40. Given these figures, expecting an active game in terms of corners is logical, and betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly earn many corners, as evidenced by their average figures and the frequency of over 9.5 totals.