Prediction for match Al Fayha — Al-Ahli

Match Analysis: Al Fayha vs Al-Ahli

In the Saudi Pro League, Al Fayha and Al-Ahli will face off on April 8. The odds reflect a clear advantage for Al-Ahli: their victory is priced at 1.48, with a 63.06% chance of success. A draw is at 4.36 (21.41%), while a win for Al Fayha is at 6.01 (15.53%). This setup is explained not only by current form but also by head-to-head results: in their last meeting, Al-Ahli won 2-0. Overall, Al-Ahli consistently picks up points, as confirmed by their position in the odds.

Team Performance and Statistics

Looking at Al Fayha's last three matches, they lost to Neom 0-1, defeated Al-Ettifaq 1-0, and thrashed Al Akhdoud 5-0. In the same period, Al-Ahli beat Damac 3-0, lost to Al-Qadisiyah 2-3, and defeated Al Ittihad 3-1. On average, over the last five games, Al Fayha has 40.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per match. Al-Ahli has higher possession at 45.2%, 2.6 yellow cards, 18 fouls, and 4.6 offsides. The last head-to-head ended with a 2-0 win for Al-Ahli, confirming their favorite status.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Al Fayha has an average total of 2.6 goals, while Al-Ahli has 2.8. Al Fayha scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.0, whereas Al-Ahli scores 2.0 and concedes 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Al Fayha had 2 out of 5 games over, Al-Ahli had 3 out of 5. By halves: Al Fayha had only 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5 in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Al-Ahli had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in both halves. Goal intervals: Al Fayha most often scores between 16-75 minutes (25% in each of the three intervals), while Al-Ahli scores late (76-90, 33%). Conceded goals: Al Fayha is most vulnerable early (0-15, 30%) and late (61-90, 60%), Al-Ahli late in the first half (31-45, 40%). Considering both teams' scoring averages, the frequency of over 2.5 goals, and Al-Ahli's attacking profile, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.73 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last five matches, Al Fayha averages 4.4 corners, and Al-Ahli 3.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Al Fayha had 2 out of 5 games over, Al-Ahli only 1 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, 8.5 is closest to the average sum (8.2): over 8.5 is priced at 1.50, under at 2.28. In corner outcomes, Al-Ahli is favored at 1.37. Statistically, neither team is highly prolific in corners, so betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified given the averages and available odds.