Prediction for match Al Hazm — Al-Najma

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the upcoming Saudi Pro League match between Al Hazm and Al-Najma, scheduled for January 12, 2026, the bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 outcome are as follows: Al Hazm's victory is priced at 1.87, a draw is at 3.42, and Al-Najma's win is at 3.66. In terms of probabilities, Al Hazm has a 48.60% chance, a draw is at 26.57%, and Al-Najma is at 24.83%. Al Hazm is slightly favored by the odds, but the gap is not significant, indicating a potential contest. Given these percentages and odds, the match promises to be interesting from a betting perspective on the main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Al Hazm's last three matches, the team lost to Al Hilal 0-3 (08.01.2026), lost to Neom 1-2 (04.01.2026), and defeated Al Riyadh 2-1 (29.12.2025). In their last three encounters, Al-Najma lost to Al Ettifaq 3-4 (08.01.2026), drew with Al Khaleej 2-2 (02.01.2026), and lost to Al Taawoun 0-1 (29.12.2025). Over the past five matches, Al Hazm averages 45.2% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. Al-Najma, in the same metrics: possession 43.8%, yellow cards 0.8, fouls 8.6, offsides 3.2. In a five-match series, Al Hazm shows slightly better discipline in terms of cards, while Al-Najma is more frequently caught offside.

Goal Scoring Trends

The scoring performance of both teams in recent matches is notable: Al Hazm had 4 out of 5 games end with over 2.5 goals, while Al-Najma had 3 out of 5. The average goal count over 5 matches for Al Hazm is 2.4, and for Al-Najma, it's 3. Al Hazm scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.4, while Al-Najma scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8. Both teams are more productive in the second half: Al Hazm has 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the second half, and Al-Najma similarly has 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams had only 1 match each with over 1.5 goals in 5 games. In terms of goal intervals, Al Hazm most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (33%) and 76-90 minutes (33%), while Al-Najma tends to score late (76-90 minutes, 50%). Al Hazm concedes most often in the 31-45 and 46-60 minute intervals (33% each), while Al-Najma concedes in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (29% each). Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.87 seems logical: both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, and the second half often brings goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For the average number of corners over 5 matches, Al Hazm gets 3.6, and Al-Najma gets 3.4. In a five-match span, Al Hazm only once exceeded a total of over 9.5 corners, while Al-Najma did so 3 times out of 5. When considering the total corners, the closest line is 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.77, under at 1.89. In terms of corner outcomes, Al Hazm is the favorite with odds of 1.55. Overall, neither team stands out with a high number of corners, but Al-Najma has more frequently exceeded 9.5 in recent matches. A cautious approach to corner bets seems logical, with a possible focus on a total around 9.5.