Prediction for match Al Ittihad — Al-Ettifaq

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcomes

In the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Ettifaq, scheduled for January 16, 2026, bookmakers have marked Al Ittihad as the clear favorite. Al Ittihad's win is set at odds of 1.27, corresponding to a 71.61% probability. A draw is at 5.30 (17.16%), while an Al-Ettifaq victory is priced at 8.10 (11.23%). These odds reflect confidence in Al Ittihad's strength, but Al-Ettifaq could still surprise, given their recent strong performances. Goal total options are also intriguing: over 3.0 goals is at 1.52, and both teams to score is at 1.64.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Al Ittihad has shown consistent results: they drew 1-1 with Damac on January 13, convincingly defeated Al Khaleej 4-0 on January 9, and overcame Al Taawoun 1-0 on January 3. Al-Ettifaq, in their last three matches, defeated Al Ahli 2-0 (January 2), drew 2-2 with Al Nassr (December 30), and won against Al Riyadh 2-0 (December 25). In their head-to-head on April 21, 2025, Al Ittihad came out on top with a 3-2 victory. Over a five-match stretch, Al Ittihad averages 64.8% possession, commits 13 fouls, receives 1.2 yellow cards, and records 2.2 offsides per game. Al-Ettifaq holds 52% possession, commits 10 fouls, receives 1.4 yellow cards, and records 2.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The goal-scoring profile of both teams in the last five matches is quite vibrant. Al Ittihad averages 2.2 goals scored per game and concedes just 0.4, with a total of 2.6 goals per match. Al-Ettifaq also scores 2.2 but concedes 1.4, with an average total of 3.6 goals per match. For over 2.5 goals: Al Ittihad has 2 out of 5, and Al-Ettifaq has 3 out of 5. In terms of halves, Al Ittihad has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half, and only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Al-Ettifaq has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half, indicating a tendency for a high-scoring finish. In goal intervals: Al Ittihad most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%), while Al-Ettifaq scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%). Goals conceded by Al Ittihad are evenly spread across three intervals, whereas Al-Ettifaq concedes most often between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each). Overall, both teams play attacking football, and it's logical to expect at least three goals in this match. Over 3.0 goals at 1.52 seems like an optimal choice, considering average scoring rates and the frequency of overs.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Al Ittihad averages 9.4 corners per game over a five-match stretch, while Al-Ettifaq averages 3.6. For over 9.5 corners: both teams have 3 out of 5 matches over. The closest total to their combined average is over 9.5 corners at 1.76, and under 9.5 at 1.99. Al Ittihad is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.22. With these figures, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given Al Ittihad's high activity on set-pieces and consistent overs in this total. Also, Al Ittihad's individual corner stats regularly exceed 9 per match.