Prediction for match Al Ittihad — Al-Najma

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On February 1, 2026, Al Ittihad will face Al-Najma in the Saudi Arabian Pro League. The odds for the 1X2 outcome have Al Ittihad as the favorite with odds of 1.10, corresponding to an 82.03% probability. A draw is priced at 9.10 (9.92%), while an Al-Najma victory is at 11.20 (8.06%). This distribution clearly highlights Al Ittihad's advantage in this matchup. Additionally, the individual total for Al Ittihad over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.57, which seems an interesting betting option considering both teams' statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al Ittihad has averaged 61.6% possession, received 1.6 yellow cards, committed 11.2 fouls, and had 2.2 offsides per game. Al-Najma, over the same period, maintained 50% possession, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 11.2 fouls, and had 2.4 offsides. Al Ittihad's last three matches: January 29, 2026, Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad 2-2, January 26, 2026, Al Ittihad vs Al Akhdoud 2-1, January 22, 2026, Al Qadisiyah vs Al Ittihad 2-1. Al-Najma's results: January 28, 2026, Al-Najma vs Al Riyadh 1-1, January 25, 2026, Al-Najma vs Al Qadisiyah 1-3, January 20, 2026, Al Shabab vs Al-Najma 0-0. In their last encounter on September 20, 2025, Al-Najma lost to Al Ittihad 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

On average, both teams have 2.6 goals per game over five matches, with Al Ittihad scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4, while Al-Najma scores 1 and concedes 1.6. Al Ittihad has gone over 2.5 total goals in three of five games, while Al-Najma has done so twice. In the first half, Al Ittihad has surpassed 1.5 goals three times, but only once in the second half. Al-Najma has exceeded 1.5 goals once in the first half and twice in the second. Al Ittihad most often scores between the 31-45 minute mark (43%), while Al-Najma scores between the 46-60 minute mark (43%). Al Ittihad concedes 33% of their goals between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes, whereas Al-Najma concedes 43% in the first 15 minutes. Overall, the statistics suggest that Al Ittihad is capable of scoring at least three goals, given their attacking profile, frequency of hitting higher totals, and Al-Najma's defensive vulnerabilities, especially early in matches. A bet on Al Ittihad's individual total over 2.5 at 1.57 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Al Ittihad averages 8.6 corners per game, while Al-Najma averages 6.4. In five matches, both teams have gone over 9.5 total corners four times. The market for total corners offers an option at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.58, under 9.5 at 2.12. For corner outcomes, Al Ittihad is the favorite with odds of 1.06. Considering both teams' average activity and frequency of hitting the upper total, a bet on over 9.5 total corners seems logical. Additionally, considering their average, Al Ittihad's individual total corners over 6.5 could be considered.