Prediction for match Al Ittihad — Al Shabab

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the King's Cup of Saudi Arabia on November 29, Al Ittihad faces Al Shabab. Bookmakers have made Al Ittihad the favorite, with the team's victory priced at 1.56, which corresponds to a 58.33% probability. A draw is given at 3.90 (23.33%), and Al Shabab's success is rated at 4.96 (18.34%). This setup reflects the difference in current form and results: Al Ittihad is significantly higher in all main odds and has maintained its favorite status in recent matches. In this matchup, Al Ittihad has a significant advantage in terms of win probability, confirmed not only by the odds but also by head-to-head results.

Team Results and Statistics

Analyzing secondary statistics, Al Ittihad has had an average possession of 64.8% in the last five matches, with 1.2 offsides, 1.2 yellow cards, and 11.2 fouls per game. Al Shabab lags behind in these metrics: possession 41.2%, offsides 2.4, yellow cards 2.2, fouls 10.4. In the last three matches, Al Ittihad played as follows: 24.11 - Al-Duhail vs Al Ittihad 4-2, 21.11 - Al Ittihad vs Al Riyadh 2-1, 08.11 - Al Ittihad vs Al-Ahli 0-1. Al Shabab's last three encounters: 23.11 - Al Akhdood vs Al Shabab 1-1, 08.11 - Al Shabab vs Al-Ettifaq 1-1, 31.10 - Al Hilal vs Al Shabab 1-0. The last head-to-head match was on 20.05.2025: Al Shabab vs Al Ittihad 2-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Al Ittihad stands out: in a five-match series, the average total goals in their games is 4.2, with 2.2 scored and 2 conceded. Meanwhile, Al Shabab's average total is 1.8, scoring only 0.8 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals, Al Ittihad has 4 out of 5 matches over, while Al Shabab has 0 out of 5. By halves, Al Ittihad has 3 out of 5 matches over 1.5 in both the first and second halves, while Al Shabab has 2 out of 5 in the first half and 0 out of 5 in the second. Al Ittihad most frequently scores between 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (23% each), and concedes late (76-90 minutes - 75%). Al Shabab most often scores between 31-45 minutes (60%), and concedes either in this segment (50%) or at the end (76-90 minutes - 50%). Given such a difference in attacking potential and the frequency of over 2.5 goals for Al Ittihad, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.56 seems the most logical for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Al Ittihad averages 4.6 corners per game, while Al Shabab averages 4.2. In the last five matches, Al Ittihad had no games over 9.5 corners, while Al Shabab had 2 out of 5. The line for corners is closest to the sum of the average totals, with over 8.5 at 1.55 and under 8.5 at 2.26. Al Ittihad is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.41. Looking at the statistics, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, considering the average figures for both teams, although the frequency of this total being surpassed in recent matches is low. Additionally, individual corner totals for each team can be considered, but the main focus should be on a combined total of around 8-9 corners.