Prediction for match Al Kholood — Al-Qadisiyah

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on March 5, 2026, Al Kholood will face Al-Qadisiyah. According to the 1X2 odds, Al-Qadisiyah is the clear favorite: their win is priced at 1.42, which corresponds to a probability of 64.03%. A draw is set at 4.45 (20.43%), while a victory for Al Kholood is at 5.85 (15.54%). This disparity in odds reflects the difference in current form and results of the teams. Al-Qadisiyah shows more stability, which is confirmed by the higher win probability.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al Kholood has gained momentum: a win over Neom 2-1 (02/28/2026), a victory against Al Khaleej 3-2 (02/24/2026), a loss to Al Riyadh 0-2 (02/19/2026), a defeat by Al-Najma 1-2 (02/14/2026), and a narrow win over Al Shabab 1-0 (02/07/2026). Al-Qadisiyah has also had a busy series: a draw with Al Taawoun 1-1 (02/28/2026), a big win over Al-Ettifaq 4-0 (02/23/2026), a high-scoring victory against Al Ahud 4-2 (02/20/2026), a narrow win against Neom 1-0 (02/12/2026), and a draw with Al Fateh 1-1 (02/07/2026). In additional metrics, Al Kholood averages 49.2% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per match. Al-Qadisiyah averages 64.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 3.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 6, 2025, Al-Qadisiyah defeated Al Kholood 4-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Al Kholood's last five games, the total over 2.5 hit 3 times, under 2 times. For Al-Qadisiyah, it's the opposite: 2 times over, 3 under. The average goals in Al Kholood's matches are 2.8, Al-Qadisiyah's are 3.0. Al Kholood scores and concedes 1.4 on average, while Al-Qadisiyah scores 2.2 and concedes only 0.8. By halves, Al Kholood had 3 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5 in the first half, 2 out of 5 in the second. Al-Qadisiyah had 4 times over 1.5 in the first half, 2 in the second. Al Kholood most frequently scores between 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes in the same periods (38% each). Al-Qadisiyah often scores late (76-90 minutes - 44%) and concedes evenly across intervals (17% each). The stats indicate Al-Qadisiyah is consistently productive, while Al Kholood lacks defensive reliability. Both teams' average totals exceed 2.5, and Al-Qadisiyah regularly scores two or more goals. Against this background, a bet on Al-Qadisiyah's individual total over 1.5 at 1.43 seems logical, but the odds are below the acceptable threshold. Al-Qadisiyah also has odds of 1.42 for a win, which isn't suitable. The optimal choice is a total over 2.5 at 1.48, though this is slightly below the threshold. The next option is a total over 2.75 at 1.59. This bet is supported by average totals and frequencies of over 2.5 for both teams. Al-Qadisiyah scored 10 goals in the last five matches, and Al Kholood 7. Head-to-head matches between these teams also often feature high-scoring games: 4-0, 4-1, 0-3, 2-0, 0-2. All this supports the choice of a total over 2.75.

Corners in the Match

On average, Al Kholood earns 5.2 corners, Al-Qadisiyah 9.2 per match. Over the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times for Al Kholood, 3 times for Al-Qadisiyah. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (14.4) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.70, under 1.98. In corner outcomes, Al-Qadisiyah is the favorite with odds of 1.31. Given the teams' activity in corner kicks, a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical. Al-Qadisiyah regularly delivers many corners, and Al Kholood also maintains a high pace in this regard. In recent matches, both teams confirm the trend of high activity at the corner flags, making a bet on a high total of corners justified.