Prediction for match Al-Najma — Al Fateh, 16.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on January 16, Al-Najma will face Al Fateh. According to the 1X2 odds, Al Fateh is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.95, Al-Najma's win is at 3.32, and a draw is at 3.50. Looking at the probability percentages, Al-Najma has 27.39%, a draw is at 25.98%, and Al Fateh is at 46.63%. Therefore, Al Fateh has the highest chances of winning, but a draw is also a possibility based on the probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al-Najma has an average possession of 45.4%, receives 0.8 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and records 2.6 offsides per game. Al Fateh averages 45% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Al-Najma's last three matches: 12.01.2026 Al Hazm - Al-Najma 3-2, 08.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Ettifaq 3-4, 02.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al Khaleej 2-2. Al Fateh's last three matches: 13.01.2026 Al Fateh - Al Riyadh 3-1, 10.01.2026 Neom - Al Fateh 0-1, 03.01.2026 Al Fateh - Al Shabab 2-0. Both teams have been scoring points in these matches, but Al Fateh appears more confident in their results.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In terms of total goals over the last 5 games, Al-Najma had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Al Fateh had it in only 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in Al-Najma's matches is 4, and for Al Fateh, it's 2.2. Al-Najma scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 2.4, while Al Fateh scores 1.8 and concedes only 0.4. By halves, Al-Najma had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times out of 5, and in the first half 2 out of 5. Al Fateh had over 1.5 goals in the second half only 1 time out of 5, and also 1 out of 5 in the first half. In terms of goal intervals, Al-Najma scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (50%), and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (33%). Al Fateh scores most frequently in the 0-15 and 46-60 minute intervals (29% each), and concedes in the 31-45 minute interval (50%). Considering Al-Najma's high scoring and Al Fateh's stable attack, as well as both teams often going over 2.5 goals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Al-Najma averages 2.8 corners per match, while Al Fateh averages 4.4. In the last 5 games, Al-Najma had over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Al Fateh 5 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.68, under 9.5 at 2.01. In terms of corner outcomes, Al Fateh is the favorite with odds of 1.65. Given that Al Fateh consistently delivers more than 4 corners and both teams often exceed the 9.5 total, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Also, considering Al Fateh's recent match stats, betting on Al Fateh to win on corners is worth considering.