Prediction for match Al-Najma — Al-Hilal, 07.11.2025

Match Analysis: Al-Najma vs Al-Hilal

On November 7, Al-Najma will face Al-Hilal in the Saudi Arabian Pro League. The odds for an Al-Hilal victory are 1.14, a draw is at 7.00, and an Al-Najma win is priced at 15.00. The probability distribution for the outcome is: Al-Najma - 6.13%, draw - 13.15%, Al-Hilal - 80.72%. Al-Hilal is clearly favored according to both the odds and probabilities, which is reflected in other betting options. For comparison, in the first half outcome, Al-Hilal's win is at 1.44, a draw at 3.10, and an Al-Najma win at 11.00. The bet on Al-Hilal to score first is at 1.22.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession over the last five matches, Al-Najma holds 48.6%, while Al-Hilal holds 56.4%. Average yellow cards: Al-Najma 2.6 compared to Al-Hilal's 1.4. Al-Hilal commits more fouls at 12.8, while Al-Najma has 9.2. Offsides: Al-Najma 1.8 and Al-Hilal 2.2. Al-Najma's last three matches: 31.10 Al Akhdood 2-1 Al-Najma, 23.10 Al-Najma 0-1 Al-Ahli, 17.10 Al Khaleej 5-1 Al-Najma. Al-Hilal's last three matches: 03.11 Al-Gharafa 1-2 Al-Hilal, 31.10 Al-Hilal 1-0 Al Shabab, 24.10 Al Ittihad 0-2 Al-Hilal. Head-to-head data is not available in the current sample. Additionally, Al-Najma appears less aggressive in terms of cards and fouls, while Al-Hilal catches the opposition offside more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Al-Najma had 3 out of 5 games over 2.5 goals, and Al-Hilal also had 3 out of 5 over 2.5 goals. In the first halves, Al-Najma had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Al-Hilal had 2 out of 5. Second halves were more productive: 3 out of 5 for both teams over 1.5 goals. Average goals per match: Al-Najma - 2.8, Al-Hilal - 3. Al-Najma scores 0.6 per game, conceding 2.2, while Al-Hilal scores 2.6, conceding just 0.4. Both teams most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minutes (50% each), Al-Hilal concedes evenly between the 46th and 60th minutes and 61st and 75th minutes (30% each), while Al-Najma concedes 33% towards the end. These statistics indicate Al-Hilal's clear dominance in attack and Al-Najma's low scoring ability. Given these trends, it's logical to predict BTTS: No, considering the difference in attack and defense, with odds at 1.67. In Al-Najma's last five matches, they only scored more than one goal once, and Al-Hilal consistently maintains a solid defense.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Al-Hilal averages 6.2 per game, Al-Najma 4.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 3 out of 5 for both teams. In corner totals odds: over 9.5 is at 1.73, under 9.5 is 2.00. Al-Hilal to win on corners is priced at 1.08, Al-Najma at 8.50, and a draw at 13.00. For individual corner totals: Al-Najma under 2.5 is at 1.67, over 2.5 at 2.10; Al-Hilal under 7.5 at 1.80, over 7.5 at 1.91. Based on the data, both teams are likely to exceed a total of over 9.5 corners, but Al-Hilal is the clear favorite in corner stats. In the last five matches, both teams have exceeded 9.5 corners three times, confirming their high activity in this metric.