Prediction for match Al-Najma — Al Kholood

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on 14.02.2026, Al-Najma will face Al Kholood. The odds for the match outcomes are as follows: a win for Al Kholood is priced at 2.23, a victory for Al-Najma is at 2.89, and a draw is at 3.28. In terms of probability percentages: Al-Najma - 31.48%, draw - 27.73%, Al Kholood - 40.79%. Al Kholood has the highest probability percentage, making them the bookmakers' favorite. However, the difference in chances between the teams is not critical, suggesting a potentially tight contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Al-Najma played as follows: 05.02.2026 Al-Fayha - Al-Najma 3-0, 01.02.2026 Al-Ittihad - Al-Najma 1-0, 28.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh 1-1. During the same period, Al Kholood had these results: 07.02.2026 Al Kholood - Al Shabab 1-0, 03.02.2026 Damac - Al Kholood 0-0, 30.01.2026 Al Kholood - Al Nassr 0-3. On average over the last five matches, Al-Najma has 48.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 3 offsides per game. Al Kholood shows 43.8% possession, 1.8 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 27.10.2025, Al Kholood defeated Al-Najma 1-0.

Goals Over/Under Statistics

Regarding scoring, Al-Najma averages 2 goals per match over five games, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 1.6. Al Kholood has higher figures: 2.8 goals on average, with 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Al-Najma has 2 out of 5, Al Kholood 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Al-Najma also 1 out of 5, Al Kholood 3 out of 5. Al-Najma most often scores between 46-60 minutes (50%) and concedes most frequently from 61 to 75 minutes (50%). Al Kholood's goals are evenly distributed: 20% in each segment from 16 to 90 minutes, with most conceded from 46-60 minutes (40%). Based on this data, and considering Al Kholood's more pronounced attacking profile and three over 2.5 goals in five matches, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.72 seems justified. Al-Najma scores little but concedes often, while Al Kholood can sustain scoring.

Corner Over/Under Analysis

For corners, Al-Najma averages 5.2 over five matches, Al Kholood 3.6. In a series of five games, the over 9.5 corners occurred for Al-Najma 3 times, Al Kholood 2 times. Among the presented lines for corners, the total closest to the average (8.8) is 8.5, with both options available: over 8.5 corners at 1.37, under 8.5 at 2.66. Also, note the total of 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.66, under 9.5 - 1.99. In the corners outcome line, Al Kholood is favored at 1.99. Based on average values and frequency, a bet on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners seems logical, considering both teams can earn corners, with Al-Najma particularly standing out in this aspect.