Prediction for match Al-Najma — Neom

Match Analysis: Al-Najma vs Neom

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on 11.04.2026, Al-Najma will face Neom. The odds for the outcomes are: a win for Neom is priced at 1.59, a draw at 4.15, and a victory for Al-Najma at 5.03. Probability-wise, Neom has a 58.85% chance, a draw is at 22.55%, and Al-Najma at 18.60%. Neom is highlighted as the favorite, but the recent match statistics for both teams indicate high scoring games and frequent over totals. Betting lines also highlight the over 2.5 goals at 1.50 and both teams to score at 1.58, which suggests an exciting match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Al-Najma lost to Al-Nassr 2-5 (03.04.2026), fell to Damac 1-3 (12.03.2026), and were defeated by Al-Hilal 0-4 (06.03.2026). Neom, in their last three encounters, beat Al-Ittihad 4-3 (08.04.2026), defeated Al-Fayha 1-0 (04.04.2026), and drew with Al-Taawoun 2-2 (12.03.2026). In their head-to-head on 25.12.2025, Neom won against Al-Najma 2-1. Over the last five matches, Al-Najma had 44.4% possession, averaged 1.8 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Neom had 50% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These stats suggest that Neom plays slightly more aggressively and controls the ball more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match span, Al-Najma's average total goals per game is 4.8, scoring 0.8 and conceding 4 on average. Neom's average total is 3.2, scoring 1.6 and conceding the same. In their last five matches, Al-Najma played over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 games, Neom in 3 out of 5. By halves, Al-Najma had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times and 5 out of 5 in the second half. Neom had over 1.5 in the first half 2 out of 5 times and 2 out of 5 in the second. Al-Najma most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (36% each), while Neom scores in the same intervals (25% each). Al-Najma concedes most often in the closing stages (76-90 minutes, 31%), while Neom concedes 25% in the opening (0-15) and closing stages (76-90). Such dynamics and high scoring in recent matches make the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.50 logical and justified.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Al-Najma averages 3.4 corners per match, Neom 4. In five matches, Al-Najma went over 9.5 corners 3 out of 5 times, Neom 1 out of 5. The line for total corners offers over 7.5 at 1.27, under 7.5 at 3.45. There's also over 8.5 at 1.46 and under 8.5 at 2.52. The combined average for both teams is close to 7.4, so betting on over 7.5 corners seems reasonable. No clear favorite emerges for corners, with both teams having the potential to lead in this statistic. Overall, expect a moderate number of corners without a clear dominance by either side.