Prediction for match Al-Najma — Al Taawon

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Al-Najma and Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabian Pro League will take place on 23.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Al Taawon is favored to win at 1.70, a draw is priced at 3.92, and an Al-Najma victory is at 4.40. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Al-Najma 21.23%, Draw 23.83%, Al Taawon 54.94%. Thus, Al Taawon is considered the favorite, but the recent match statistics of both teams suggest high scoring potential, making the match interesting from a total goals perspective.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al-Najma averages 40.8% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and records 2.4 offsides per game. Al Taawon shows 49.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1 offside on average. Recent matches for Al-Najma: 11.04.2026 - Al-Najma vs Neom - 2-1, 03.04.2026 - Al Nasr vs Al-Najma - 5-2, 12.03.2026 - Al-Najma vs Damak - 1-3. For Al Taawon: 11.04.2026 - Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej - 1-2, 04.04.2026 - Al Hilal vs Al Taawon - 2-2, 12.03.2026 - Neom vs Al Taawon - 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 29.12.2025, Al Taawon defeated Al-Najma 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, all of Al-Najma's games ended with over 2.5 goals (5 out of 5 over 2.5), and Al Taawon had 4 out of 5 over 2.5. The average number of goals in Al-Najma's matches is 4.4, while for Al Taawon, it's 3.6. Al-Najma scores 1.2 and concedes 3.2 per game, Al Taawon scores 1.8 and concedes 1.8. For halves, Al-Najma has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals in the first half and 5 out of 5 in the second half, while Al Taawon has 2 out of 5 in the first and 3 out of 5 in the second. Al-Najma most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (38%) and concedes late (76-90, 33%). Al Taawon is most prolific also between 31-45 minutes (33%) and concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (33%). Given the consistent over 2.5 goals trend for both teams, high average goals, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Al-Najma averages 3.6 corners per game, Al Taawon 2.8. In the last five matches, Al-Najma had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, Al Taawon 2 out of 5. Among the available corner lines, the total closest to the average is 6.5, but only for the 9.5 total are both odds available: over 9.5 corners - 1.54, under 9.5 - 2.19. For corner outcomes, Al Taawon is favored with odds of 1.58. Overall, given the not very high averages, betting on over 9.5 corners seems risky, although Al-Najma recorded overs in 3 out of 5 matches.