Prediction for match Al-Najma — Damac

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League match between Al-Najma and Damac on 12.03.2026, the odds for Damac to win are 2.36, for Al-Najma to succeed - 2.82, and a draw is priced at 3.12. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Al-Najma win - 32.27%, draw - 29.17%, Damac win - 38.56%. Damac holds the highest probability and is favored according to the odds, though the gap with Al-Najma is not significant. For total goals: over 2.5 goals is at 2.06, under 2.5 goals is at 1.68. Both teams to score: yes - 1.80, no - 1.89. For individual totals: Al-Najma over 1 goal - 1.75, Damac over 1 goal - 1.61. Double chance options: 1X - 1.47, X2 - 1.34, 12 - 1.27. Overall, the odds do not highlight a clear underdog, but Damac is rated higher.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Al-Najma lost to Al-Hilal 0-4 (06.03.2026), lost to Al-Ahdoood 1-3 (28.02.2026), and lost to Al-Nassr 0-5 (25.02.2026). Damac, in their last three games, beat Al-Riyadh 3-0 (05.03.2026), drew with Al-Fateh 1-1 (26.02.2026), and lost to Al-Ahli 0-1 (23.02.2026). Looking at averages over the last five games, Al-Najma has 45.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. Damac shows 50% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 22.11.2025, the teams played to a 0-0 draw. Earlier matches ended in Al-Najma's favor: 2-1 (23.09.2025) and 2-0 (25.09.2024).

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Al-Najma had over 2.5 goals in all 5 matches, while Damac had it in 3 out of 5. The average number of goals in Al-Najma's matches is 4.2, with the team scoring only 0.8 and conceding 3.4 per game. Damac's average total is 2.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. By halves, Al-Najma had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 games, and in the second half in all 5. Damac had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5, and in the second half also in 2 out of 5. By goal intervals: Al-Najma most often scores in the 76-90 minute range (42%) and concedes mainly in this segment (30%). Damac is most productive in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 intervals (29% each), and most often concedes in the 16-30 range (33%). Given the high scoring nature of Al-Najma's matches and Damac's decent goal figures, a bet on the total over 2.0 at 1.52 seems logical. Both teams are capable of scoring, but Al-Najma concedes significantly more than it scores, increasing the likelihood of the total bet being successful.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For the average number of corners per match, Al-Najma earns 1.8, Damac - 5. In a five-match series, Al-Najma had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Damac - 2 times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the sum of average values (6.8) is 6.5, but only 9.5 and above are offered in the odds. The win on corners is more often for Damac, given their average figure. Statistically, it makes sense to consider a bet on Damac's individual corner total over 4.5, if such a line appears. Overall, Damac looks more active in corner deliveries, while Al-Najma rarely earns more than two per game.