Prediction for match Al Nassr — Al-Ahli

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

The match between Al Nassr and Al-Ahli in the Saudi Pro League is scheduled for 29.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Al Nassr is the favorite with odds of 1.85, Al-Ahli is at 3.68, and a draw is priced at 3.90. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Al Nassr win - 50.58%, draw - 23.99%, Al-Ahli win - 25.43%. This setup reflects Al Nassr's advantage according to bookmakers' expectations and statistical assessments. Options for total goals and both teams to score are also available, but the main focus is on Al Nassr's victory.

Team Results and Statistics

Al Nassr has shown a confident series in the last five matches: 1-0 against Al-Ettifaq (15.04.2026), 2-0 with Al Akhdoud (11.04.2026), and 5-2 over Al-Najma (03.04.2026). Al-Ahli also shows stable results: 1-0 with Machida Zelvia (25.04.2026), 2-1 against Vissel Kobe (20.04.2026), and 2-1 over Johor Darul Ta'zim (17.04.2026). On average, over five matches, Al Nassr holds possession 59.6% of the time, records 1.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Al-Ahli's averages are 55.2% possession, 2.4 yellows, 12.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. The last head-to-head meeting was on 02.01.2026 and ended with Al-Ahli winning 3-2. These figures highlight the discipline and ball control of both teams, as well as their ability to play efficiently and carefully.

Goal Scoring Streaks

In a five-match series, Al Nassr scores an average of 2.8 goals per game and concedes only 0.4, with an overall average total of 3.2 goals in their matches. Al-Ahli's figures are more modest: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded, total average - 2. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have a balance: Al Nassr 2 out of 5 over 2.5, Al-Ahli also 2 out of 5. By halves, Al Nassr has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second, Al-Ahli 1 out of 5 in each half. Al Nassr most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (43%), while Al-Ahli scores in the same 31-45 and 46-60 minute intervals (50% each). Al Nassr most often concedes between 46-60 minutes (33%), Al-Ahli between 61-75 (50%). These data indicate Al Nassr's high scoring ability and Al-Ahli's moderate activity, making a bet on Al Nassr's victory logical: the team demonstrates stable attack, reliable defense, and confidence in converting chances. Meanwhile, Al-Ahli does not seem capable of consistently holding off the opponent, based on average goals conceded and frequency of over totals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Al Nassr earns 7 corners per game, Al-Ahli 4.2, totaling 11.2. Over 9.5 corner totals occurred once in 5 for Al Nassr, and never for Al-Ahli. The line offers a corner total of 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.28. There's also a 9.5 total: over 9.5 at 1.87, under 9.5 at 1.79. For corner outcomes, Al Nassr is favored with odds of 1.61. Based on average corner activity, it's logical to consider the option for over 8.5, as both teams combined approach this mark, and Al Nassr consistently earns many set pieces.