Prediction for match Al Nassr — Al Shabab, 17.01.2026

Match Analysis: Al Nassr vs Al Shabab

The Pro League clash between Al Nassr and Al Shabab is set for January 17, 2026. Odds highlight Al Nassr as the clear favorite: their win is priced at 1.24, a draw at 6.15, and an Al Shabab victory at 7.65. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Al Nassr - 73.33%, draw - 14.79%, Al Shabab - 11.89%. This indicates a strong confidence in Al Nassr's advantage, though both teams' goal and total statistics promise an intense battle.

Team Results and Statistics

Al Nassr's last three matches saw them losing 1-3 to Al Hilal on January 12, 1-2 to Al Qadisiyah on January 8, and 2-3 to Al Ahli on January 2. Al Shabab beat Neom 3-2 on January 14, lost 0-2 to Al Taawoun on January 9, and were defeated 0-2 by Al Fateh on January 3. Over a five-match span, Al Nassr averages 61% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 3.2 offsides per game. Al Shabab averages 36.8% possession, 3 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head on March 7, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Al Nassr consistently went over 2.5 total goals - 5 out of 5 times, with an average total of 3.8 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2 goals. Al Shabab, in the same period, went over 2.5 total goals twice and stayed under three times, with an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 2.2. Al Nassr saw over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and three times in the second half. Al Shabab had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times, and twice in the second half. Al Nassr most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (42%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Al Shabab also scores most often in the late stages (76-90, 27%) and concedes early (0-15, 40%) and late in the first half (31-45, 40%). Considering Al Nassr's high scoring rate and both teams' defensive instability, a bet on over 3.5 goals at 1.75 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Al Nassr averages 7.2 corners over 5 matches, while Al Shabab averages 4.2. For totals over 9.5 corners, Al Nassr has 2 out of 5, and Al Shabab has 4 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.4) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 2.26, under 11.5 at 1.51. Al Nassr is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.12. Considering Al Nassr's activity in delivering corners and Al Shabab's tendency for high totals, a bet on over 11.5 corners or Al Nassr's individual total corners is logical.