Prediction for match Al Riyadh — Al Nassr, 02.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Al Riyadh and Al Nassr in the Saudi Pro League is scheduled for February 2, 2026. The odds for an Al Nassr victory are 1.17, a draw is priced at 7.10, and an Al Riyadh win is at 9.90. In terms of probability, Al Nassr has a 77.94% chance of winning, a draw is at 12.84%, and Al Riyadh has a 9.21% chance. Al Nassr is clearly the favorite based on all major metrics, as reflected in both the odds and the win probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al Riyadh drew with Al-Najma 1-1 (01/28/2026), Al-Hilal 1-1 (01/25/2026), and Al Akhdoud 2-2 (01/21/2026). Al Nassr's last three matches were victories: against Al Khaleej 3-0 (01/30/2026), against Al Taawoun 1-0 (01/26/2026), and against Damac 2-1 (01/21/2026). In their head-to-head meeting on September 20, 2025, Al Nassr thrashed Al Riyadh 5-1. Secondary statistics show that Al Riyadh averages 45.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game over their last five matches. Al Nassr averages 58.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 3.8 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have the same average total goals over the last five matches, at 3.2. Al Riyadh scores 1.2 and concedes 2 goals per game, while Al Nassr scores 2 and concedes 1.2. In their last five matches, Al Riyadh played over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Al Nassr in 4 out of 5. In terms of half-time results, both teams have only 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals in the first half, but in the second half, Al Riyadh has 3 out of 5, and Al Nassr has 4 out of 5. Goal intervals show Al Riyadh most often scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (38% each), while Al Nassr scores most frequently in the 76th-90th minute (38%). Al Riyadh concedes most often between the 16th and 30th minute (33%), while Al Nassr concedes most often between the 46th and 60th minute (50%). Overall, the statistics support betting on over 3.5 total goals, which has occurred in 4 out of 5 matches for Al Nassr, and Al Riyadh also has a high average total. The odds for over 3.5 total goals are 1.79.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Al Riyadh earns 5 corners per match, and Al Nassr 6.4, totaling 11.4. In their last five matches, Al Riyadh recorded over 9.5 total corners 3 times, while Al Nassr did so once. Among the odds for corner totals, over 9.5 is priced at 1.69, and under 9.5 at 2.00. Al Nassr is favored with odds of 1.15 for the corner outcome. Considering the average values and frequency of occurrences for Al Riyadh, it is logical to consider betting on over 9.5 total corners, as both teams generally create a sufficient number of set pieces.