Prediction for match Neom — Al Fayha

Match Analysis: Neom vs Al Fayha

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on April 4th, Neom will face off against Al Fayha. The betting odds for the 1X2 outcome are as follows: a Neom victory is priced at 1.97, a draw is at 3.42, and an Al Fayha win is offered at 3.68. In terms of probability, Neom has a 47.36% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.28%, and Al Fayha has a 25.35% chance. Based on these figures, Neom seems slightly favored, but the gap isn't significant. The goal totals and both teams to score markets are worth considering, given Al Fayha's offensive potential and Neom's defensive instability.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Neom has an average ball possession of 53%, receives 2 yellow cards per game, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. During the same period, Al Fayha has 39% ball possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times. Reviewing Neom's last three games: March 12, 2026 - Neom vs Al Taawoun - 2-2, March 7, 2026 - Al Nassr vs Neom - 1-0, February 28, 2026 - Neom vs Al Khaleej - 1-2. Al Fayha's last three matches: March 13, 2026 - Al Fayha vs Al-Ettifaq - 1-0, March 7, 2026 - Al Ahli vs Al Fayha - 0-5, February 28, 2026 - Al Fayha vs Al Nassr - 1-3. Their head-to-head on February 25, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Neom has an average total of 2.2 goals per match, while Al Fayha averages 3.4. Neom scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.2, whereas Al Fayha scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2. Neom has surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark in 2 out of 5 matches, and Al Fayha in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for both teams, while in the second half, Neom had 1 out of 5, and Al Fayha had 3 out of 5 over 1.5. Neom frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Al Fayha spreads its goals across the 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals, each at 20%. Neom often concedes early (0-15 minutes - 33%) and late (76-90 minutes - 33%), whereas Al Fayha is most vulnerable between the 76th and 90th minutes (31%). Considering Al Fayha's consistent scoring and Neom's defensive lapses, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.05 seems justified. The support from average goals, over 2.5 goals performance, and second-half activity from Al Fayha suggests a high-scoring match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Neom averages 4.4 corners over 5 matches, while Al Fayha averages 3.8. In the last five games, Neom exceeded 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, and Al Fayha did so in 1 out of 5. The line is set at 8.5 corners: over 8.5 is at 1.76, under 8.5 at 2.05. A large number of corners is not expected, but both teams could collectively reach around 8-9 corners. When considering a corners victory, there is no clear favorite due to the close averages. Statistically, a bet on a total of around 8.5 corners is reasonable, with potential for both over and under, but no strong bias towards either side.