Prediction for match Neom — Al-Hilal, 18.01.2026

Match Analysis: Neom vs Al-Hilal

In the Saudi Pro League on January 18th, Neom will face Al-Hilal. The odds for Al-Hilal's victory are 1.43, a draw is at 4.40, and a win for Neom is at 5.79. In terms of probability, Al-Hilal has a 63.61% chance of winning, the draw is valued at 20.67%, and Neom at 15.71%. Al-Hilal is the clear favorite according to the odds and probability distribution, reflected in the low odds for their win. This is further supported by the recent performance statistics of the teams.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last three matches, Neom lost to Al Shabab 2-3 on January 14th, lost to Al Fateh 0-1 on January 10th, and defeated Al Hazm 2-1 on January 4th. During the same period, Al-Hilal defeated Al Nassr 3-1 (January 12th), thrashed Al Hazm 3-0 (January 8th), and won against Damac 2-0 (January 4th). Over a five-match stretch, Neom averages 52.6% possession, 1.2 cautions, 11.6 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Al-Hilal shows 57.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. The recent results indicate Al-Hilal's strong form and Neom's more modest performance.

Goals Statistics

Both teams have shown a strong over-profile in their last 5 games: Neom's total over 2.5 occurred 4 out of 5 times, and Al-Hilal's also 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Neom's matches is 3.2, while Al-Hilal's is even higher at 3.6. Neom scores 1.4 goals on average, Al-Hilal 2.8, with goals conceded at 1.8 for Neom and 0.8 for Al-Hilal. In the second half, both teams often exceed 1.5 goals: Neom 4 out of 5 times, Al-Hilal also 4 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have 2 occurrences over 1.5 goals. Neom most frequently scores in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), Al-Hilal in the same intervals (30% each). Neom concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes - 33%), Al-Hilal in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (38% each). This profile suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match with an emphasis on the second half, supporting the bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.49.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last 5 matches, Neom averages 5.4 corners, Al-Hilal 7.6. For totals over 9.5 corners: Neom has 1 out of 5, Al-Hilal 3 out of 5. The combined average number of corners for both teams is 13. The closest line to this sum is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.70, under 9.5 at 1.98. It makes sense to consider over 9.5 corners in betting, given the high averages of both teams and Al-Hilal's frequent occurrences. Al-Hilal is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.32. Overall, an active game on the flanks and a high number of set pieces are expected.